不同碳交易配额分配方法下的鲁棒减排运作策略研究  

Robust emission reduction strategy under different quota allocation methods of carbon trading policy

作　　者：徐健腾[1] 高莹 柏庆国[1,2] 胡婷婷 XU Jianteng;GAO Ying;BAI Qingguo;HU Tingting(School of Management,Qufu Normal University,Rizhao 276826,China;Institute of Operations Research,Qufu Normal University,Rizhao 276826,China)

机构地区：[1]曲阜师范大学管理学院,山东日照276826 [2]曲阜师范大学运筹学研究院,山东日照276826

出　　处：《管理工程学报》2023年第3期191-200,共10页Journal of Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71771138);山东省泰山学者工程专项经费(tsqn202103063);山东省高等学校青创科技支持计划项目(2021RW024)。

摘　　要：本文结合当前碳交易配额分配方式多样化和需求分布信息不确定的现象,研究历史法和基准线碳配额分配方式下企业的鲁棒减排运作策略。通过构建和求解两种碳配额政策下企业减排运作决策的鲁棒优化模型,本文给出不同碳配额政策下企业进行减排投资的必要条件。不同碳配额政策下最优减排运作决策、经济和环境绩效的对比分析揭示了两种碳配额分配方法对最差分布下企业利润和碳排放量的影响。通过理论分析结合数值实验发现,相同减排水平下,基准线法碳配额下的最优生产量高于历史法碳配额下的最优生产量;虽然基准线法碳配额下的碳排放总量高于历史法碳配额下的值,但单位产品碳排放量在一定条件下却可以低于历史法碳配额下的值。用基准线法设定碳配额能充分调动企业的生产积极性,政府可以通过调整基准线法碳配额的数值使企业实现高利润低排放,从而实现经济和环境协调发展的目标。With the comprehensive launch of China′s carbon trading market,two methods of quota allocation,the grandfather method and the benchmarking method,have gradually attracted the attention of practitioners and scholars.The grandfather method is used to allocate the total emission quota of an enterprise according to the average level of its total carbon emissions in recent years,while the benchmarking method is used to allocate the carbon emission quota per unit of product according to the average emission level per unit of product in advanced enterprises.Both quota allocation methods have strengths and weaknesses and are significant in carbon emission reduction.On the other hand,fierce market competition and changeable consumer demand make it difficult to obtain complete and accurate demand information in a short period of time,and enterprises have to make their optimal decisions with limited demand information.Therefore,under limited demand information,how should enterprises determine and adjust their emission reduction investment and operational strategy under different carbon quota allocation methods?Which quota allocation method should be adopted by the government to facilitate achieving the win-win outcome of economic growth and environmental protection?These are the realistic problems faced by the government and enterprises in a low-carbon economy environment and this paper will answer these questions.Based on the above background,this paper comprehensively considers the impact of limited demand information and an active emission reduction strategy on profits and carbon emissions.By analyzing the emission reduction investment and production strategies that maximize profits with the worst-case demand distribution under the grandfather and benchmarking carbon quota allocation policies,this paper explores the effect of the two carbon trading quota allocation methods on the robust operational strategies for emission reduction,profits and carbon emissions.First,under the assumptions that market demand is affected

关 键 词：历史法 基准线法 减排投资 分布式鲁棒 有限信息 

分 类 号：F272.3[经济管理—企业管理] F224.3[经济管理—国民经济]