环境保护与经济发展的互动关系--来自崇明的启示  

Interaction between environmental protection and economic development:A case of Chongming,Shanghai

作　　者：章志琼 何丹 ZHANG Zhiqiong;HE Dan(Institute of Eco-Chongming,Shanghai 202162,China;School of Urban&Regional Science,East China Normal University,Shanghai 200062,China;Research Center for China Administrative Division,East China Normal University,Shanghai 200062,China)

机构地区：[1]崇明生态研究院,上海202162 [2]华东师范大学城市与区域科学学院,上海200062 [3]华东师范大学中国行政区划研究中心,上海200062

出　　处：《世界地理研究》2023年第4期84-95,共12页World Regional Studies

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目(41471138)。

摘　　要：环境保护与经济发展是世界面临的两大难题。本文选取2005—2018年的崇明时序数据,通过熵值法、格兰杰因果检验、VAR模型、脉冲响应函数以及方差分解等方法对环境保护与经济发展之间的互动关系进行分析。研究表明:崇明环境保护水平和经济发展水平总体得到提升,互为因果关系;环境保护水平对经济发展水平的冲击响应表现为正向效应,这主要得益于上海对崇明环境保护“硬输血”的直接财政支持,而经济发展水平对环境保护水平的冲击响应为先降后升的“V”型的负向影响,这与市区两级政府采取激励导向的“软输血”制度安排有关;环境保护水平对经济发展水平起着稳定的支撑作用,而经济发展水平对环境保护水平的影响效果不明显。最后提出了促进崇明经济发展和环境保护从“硬输血”和“弱输血”到“自我造血”的政策建议。Environmental protection and economic development is a global issue.Analyzing the construction process of Shanghai Chongming Eco-Island is helpful to understand the interactive relationship between them.Based on the time series data,this paper first used the entropy method to measure Chongming's environmental protection level and economic development level,then used Granger causality test,VAR model,pulse response function and variance decomposition to analyze the interaction between environmental protection and economic development in Chongming from 2005 to 2018.The results show that:Chongming's levels of environmental protection and economic development have generally improved from 2005 to 2018 and present twoway Granger causality.The economic development level has a positive effect on the environmental protection level,while the environmental protection level has a negative effect on the economic development level.The interaction between environmental protection and economic development are different in time and intensity.The impact of economic development on environmental protection is positive,meaning that Chongming's economic development contributes to environmental protection,but the effect gradually decreases over time.The main reason for this result is Shanghai's direct financial support.The influence of environmental protection on economic development is negative and presents the characteristics of"decreased first and then increased",which is mainly due to the incentive mechanism arrangements adopted by the twotiered government.Although with the improvement of the environmental protection level,the negative effects on economic development will gradually weaken but will not disappear.Environmental protection still restricts economic development to a certain extent.The results of variance decomposition analysis show that environmental protection makes great contribution to the economic development,whereas economic development exerts less contribution on environmental protection.Based on the empirical resul

关 键 词：环境保护 经济发展 VAR模型 崇明 

分 类 号：X22[环境科学与工程—环境科学] F124.5[经济管理—世界经济]