基于ABMS和正交试验的防空作战效能评估及优化  

Evaluation and optimization of air defense combat effectiveness based on ABMS and orthogonal tests

作　　者：陈建 王涛 曹继平 苏延召 CHEN Jian;WANG Tao;CAO Jiping;SU Yanzhao(Combat Support College,Rocket Force University of Engineering,Xi’an 710025,China)

机构地区：[1]火箭军工程大学作战保障学院,西安710025

出　　处：《兵器装备工程学报》2023年第6期120-132,共13页Journal of Ordnance Equipment Engineering

基　　金：装备军内科研项目(JJ20211C010153)。

摘　　要：为研究具有多输入、非线性特点的近程防空系统作战效能和优化问题,在基于ABMS理论的Anylogic软件环境中构建了通用近程防空系统作战仿真推演模型,并提出了一种基于自然科学领域常用的正交试验设计的通用近程防空武器系统作战效能评估和优化方法,解决了常规评估方法动态评估能力不足和仿真平台方法运算量大的问题。以平原地区弹炮结合防空系统为例,通过正交试验方法得到的数据训练出效能评估BPNN,并将其作为优化算法的目标函数,通过NSGAⅡ算法得出仿真推演模型的最优输入决策向量,结果与正交试验分析得到的最优解接近一致。仿真试验表明,采用ABMS和正交试验相结合的方法建立的评估体系不仅具备动态评估能力,也可以较快的分析速度得到评估体系的最优决策向量,为防空作战运用提供合理建议。In order to study the combat effectiveness and optimization of the short-range air defense system with multi-input and nonlinear characteristics,this paper builds an operational simulation model of the general short-range air defense system in the Anylogic software environment based on the ABMS theory.A method of operational effectiveness evaluation and optimization of the general short-range air defense weapon system based on the orthogonal experimental design commonly used in the field of natural sciences is proposed,which solves the problems of insufficient dynamic evaluation ability of conventional evaluation methods and large calculation amount of simulation platform methods.Taking the air defense system combined with missiles and guns in the plain area as an example,the effectiveness evaluation BPNN is trained through the data obtained by the orthogonal test method,and it is used as the objective function of the optimization algorithm.The optimal input decision vector of the simulation model is obtained by the NSGAⅡalgorithm,and the result is close to the optimal solution obtained through the orthogonal test analysis.The simulation experiment shows that the evaluation system established by combining ABMS with the orthogonal tests not only has the dynamic evaluation ability,but also obtains the optimal decision vector of the evaluation system at a fast analysis speed,which provides reasonable suggestions for the air defense operation.

关 键 词：防空作战 ABMS 正交试验 作战效能 BPNN NSGAⅡ 

分 类 号：E926.4[军事—军事装备学]