“双碳”目标下长江中游城市群生态福利绩效变化的经济——环境效应  

Economic and Environmental Effects of Ecological Well-Being Performance Change of Urban Agglomeration in the Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River under the Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality Goals

作　　者：朱媛媛[1,2] 张瑞[1,2] 顾江 罗维聪 ZHU Yuanyuan;ZHANG Rui;GU Jiang;LUO Weicong(Key Laboratory for Geographical Process Analysis and Simulation of Hubei Province,Central China Normal University,Wuhan 430079,Hubei,China;Academy of Wuhan Metropolitan Area,Hubei Provincial Development and Reform Commission&Central China Normal University,Wuhan 430079,Hubei,China;The Commercial Press Co.,Ltd.,Beijing 100710,China;School of Public Administration,Huazhong Agricultural University,Wuhan 430070,Hubei,China)

机构地区：[1]华中师范大学地理过程分析与模拟湖北省重点实验室,湖北武汉430079 [2]湖北省发展和改革委员会/华中师范大学武汉城市圈研究院,湖北武汉430079 [3]商务印书馆有限公司,北京100710 [4]华中农业大学公共管理学院,湖北武汉430070

出　　处：《经济地理》2023年第5期89-96,共8页Economic Geography

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目(42071170)。

摘　　要：生态福利绩效反映了区域可持续发展水平,探究生态福利绩效变化产生的经济—环境效应对于协同推进经济发展、生态环境保护和人民福祉提升具有重要意义。在测度2005—2020年长江中游城市群生态福利绩效水平的基础上,采用面板回归模型分析了“双碳”目标下生态福利绩效的经济—环境效应及其效应的阶段性特征。研究发现:(1)研究期内,长江中游城市群生态福利绩效的提升对经济增长产生了一定的抑制效应,生态福利绩效的提升具有显著的碳减排效应。(2)研究区生态福利绩效的经济效应呈现阶段性特征,生态福利绩效与经济增长的协调性逐渐增强。2005—2012年,生态福利绩效主要表现出经济抑制效应,而在2013—2020年,生态福利绩效的经济促进效应开始显现。(3)研究区生态福利绩效的环境效应呈现阶段性特征,碳减排效应表现出强化趋势。生态福利绩效对人均碳排放量产生的效应从增加向降低效应转变,对碳排放强度的降低效应则进一步增强。Ecological well-being performance(EWP)reflects the sustainability of regional development.Clarifying the economic and environmental effects of EWP change is of great significance for the coordinated promotion of economic development,environment protection,and people's well-being.The EWP of urban agglomeration in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River was measured from 2005 to 2020.A panel regression model was used to analyze the economic and environmental effects of EWP and the stage characteristics of the effects,under the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals.The study shows that:1)During the study period,the improvement of EWP in the study area had an economic inhibitory effect and a significant carbon emission reduction effect.2)The economic effect of EWP in the study area showed a stage-specific characteristic.The coordination between EWP and economic growth gradually increased.EWP mainly exhibited economic disincentive effect in 2005-2012,economic promotion effect started to appear in 2013-2020.3)The environmental effects of EWP in the study area showed phased characteristics,and the carbon emission reduction effect showed a strengthening trend.The increasing effect of EWP on per capita carbon emissions changed to the reducing effect,and the reducing effect of EWP on carbon emission intensity was further enhanced.

关 键 词：碳达峰与碳中和 生态福利绩效 经济效应 环境效应 绿色发展 长江中游城市群 

分 类 号：F290[经济管理—国民经济] X321[环境科学与工程—环境工程]