战略规划视角下脑科学领域未来发展趋势研究  

Study on the Future Development Trend of Brain Science from the Perspective of Strategic Planning

作　　者：谢秀芳 陈挺[3] 陈凌云 王茜 XIE Xiufang;CHEN Ting;CHEN Lingyun;WANG Qian(Department of Medical Informatics,School of Medical Humanities,Capital Medical University,Beijing 100069,China;Library of Capital Medical University,Beijing 100069,China;Institutes of Science and Development,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190,China;HiFiBiO Therapeutics,Hangzhou 311215,China;Institute of Medical Information,Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences&Peking Union Medical College,Beijing 100020,China)

机构地区：[1]首都医科大学医学人文学院医学信息学学系,北京100069 [2]首都医科大学图书馆,北京100069 [3]中国科学院战略咨询研究院,北京100190 [4]高诚生物医药(杭州)有限公司,杭州311215 [5]中国医学科学院/北京协和医学院医学信息研究所,北京100020

出　　处：《医学信息学杂志》2023年第6期22-29,36,共9页Journal of Medical Informatics

基　　金：北京市社会科学基金项目(项目编号:19GLC055)。

摘　　要：目的/意义从战略规划视角构建脑科学领域未来发展趋势研究方案,为国家脑科学发展战略规划提供前瞻预测情报服务。方法/过程基于全球发布的204份脑科学相关战略报告,从战略规划视角构建长期趋势预见研究体系,综合利用Python、深度学习、自然语言处理等多种方法对报告内容进行全文本解构、信息抽取和情报知识元分类,从医疗、科学、技术、政策、经济、社会等8个战略层面对脑科学未来不同时期的发展趋势及其影响因素进行前瞻预测研究。结果/结论构建脑科学战略信息库,基于该信息库从发展方向、发展趋势、发展前景3方面分析脑科学未来不同时期的发展趋势及其影响因素,为中国脑科学长期发展及规划提供战略情报服务。Purpose/Significance To construct a trend foresight solution from the perspective of strategic planning,and to provide forward-looking intelligence services for brain science development and strategic planning in China.Method/Process Based on 204 brain science related strategic planning reports released worldwide,the study constructs a trend foresight solution from the perspective of strategic planning,and comprehensively uses Python,deep learning,natural language processing(NLP)and other technologies to deconstruct the full text,extract and classify information of the reports,and conducts a foresight research on the future development trend and influencing factors of brain science in different periods from eight strategic perspective,such as medical,neuroscience,technology,policy,economic,social,etc.Result/Conclusion The study constructs a strategic information database of brain science,based on which future development trend and its influence factors of brain science in different periods are predicted from three aspects:development direction,development trend and development prospect,so as to provide strategic intelligence services for the long-term development and decision-making of brain science in China.

关 键 词：趋势预见 脑科学 科技战略情报 战略规划 文本挖掘 

分 类 号：R-058[医药卫生]