计及多元负荷预测和聚合互动的园区配电网目标网架规划方法研究及应用  

Research and Application of Target Network Structure Planning Method for Park Distribution Gird Considering Multivariate Load Forecasting and Aggregation Interaction

作　　者：向光燕 陈继开 欧阳光 陈剑豪 XIANG Guangyan;CHEN Jikai;OUYANG Guang;CHEN Jianhao(Huizhou Electric Power Design Co.,Ltd.,Huizhou 516000,China;Beijing Electric Power Research World Co.,Ltd.,Beijing 102206,China)

机构地区：[1]惠州电力勘察设计院有限公司,广东惠州516000 [2]天地电研(北京)科技有限公司,北京102206

出　　处：《电工技术》2023年第11期56-59,65,共5页Electric Engineering

摘　　要：随着新型电力系统的构建,园区配电网规划中负荷预测和方案制定所需要考虑的技术因素也有了明显的变化,为此提出了考虑多元负荷需求的饱和负荷预测方法及考虑多元聚合互动的电力平衡方法,进而指导新形势下园区配电网目标网架规划方案编制。以广东省某园区为例,验证了该方法能有效提升目标网架的适应性及经济性。With the construction of new power system,the technical factors that need to be considered in load forecasting and scheme formulation in the park distribution network planning have also changed significantly.Therefore,a saturation load prediction method considering multiple load demand and a power balance method considering multiple aggregation interaction are proposed,which can guide the preparation of the target grid planning scheme of the distribution network of the park under the new situation.Taking a park in Guangdong province as an example,it is verified that this method can effectively improve the adaptability and economy of the target grid.

关 键 词：负荷预测 电动汽车 分布式光伏 多元负荷 目标网架 

分 类 号：TM715[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]