综合需求响应主体效益的系统思考及动力学仿真  

Study on the Benefit of Integrated Demand Response Based on System Thinking and System Dynamics

作　　者：张力菠[1] 陈昌奇 支若楠 曾繁鹏 ZHANG Li-bo;CHEN Chang-qi;ZHI Ruo-nan;ZENG Fan-peng(Institute of Economics&Management,Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,Nanjing 211106,China;Jiangsu Linyang Energy Co.,Ltd,Qidong 226200,China)

机构地区：[1]南京航空航天大学经济与管理学院,江苏南京211106 [2]江苏林洋能源股份有限公司,江苏启东226200

出　　处：《系统科学学报》2023年第3期127-132,共6页Chinese Journal of Systems Science

基　　金：江苏高校哲学社会科学研究重点项目(2017ZDIXM082);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(NR2019012);国家自然科学基金项目(771774081,71834003)。

摘　　要：综合需求响应(IDR)是典型的开放复杂系统,为厘清其主体效益及动态演化,以国内某能源互联网示范园区IDR为例,采用系统思考分析了能源供应商、运营商和用户等IDR主体间的互动及主体效益的产生机制,构建了因果环路模型及系统动力学流图模型,模拟了多种情景下主体效益的动态演化。结果显示,合理的政府补贴力度、能源供应商效益分享比例及运营商和用户对该分享利益的分配比例,有利于保障主体的收益及其参与IDR的积极性。Integrated demand response(IDR) is a typical open complex giant system(OCGS).In order to clarify benefits and dynamic evolution of main agents,a domestic energy internet demonstration park IDR is taken as an example.We analyse the interactive mechanism of the energy providers,operators and users and the IDR benefit generation mechanism using system thinking.Then we construct a causal loop model and a system dynamics flow graph model,which simulate the dynamic evolution of the agent benefits in multiple scenarios.The results show that reasonable government subsidies,share ratio of energy supplier benefits and the distribution ratio of operators and users to the shared benefits are conducive to protect the main agent's benefits and their enthusiasm for participating in IDR.

关 键 词：综合需求响应 效益 系统思考 系统动力学 仿真 

分 类 号：N949[自然科学总论—系统科学] F723[经济管理—市场营销]