基于TODIM方法的出行方式选择研究  

作　　者：赵丽娜 康丽 曹建青 

机构地区：[1]新疆工程学院土木工程学院,乌鲁木齐830000

出　　处：《科技创新与应用》2023年第22期77-81,共5页Technology Innovation and Application

摘　　要：在出行方式选择模型中,定性因素较少被涉及且难以量化。该研究考虑出行者的参照点依赖和损失规避特征,运用考虑决策者心理行为的多属性决策的TODIM方法在出行方式选择模型中量化定性因素,对乌鲁木齐市高校师生交通方式选择行为进行分析。结果表明,在TODIM框架下,总体优势度最高的是地铁,私家车、BRT、出租车、常规公交依次降低;地铁建成后选择该出行方式的概率最大,私家车、常规公交、以及BRT出行的选择概率均减少,常规公交选择概率减少幅度最大。研究结果与出行者实际的交通方式选择行为相一致,一定程度上验证TODIM方法在交通出行方式选择研究中的适应性和有效性。In the travel mode selection model,qualitative factors are rarely involved and difficult to quantify.Considering the characteristics of reference point dependence and loss aversion of travelers,this study quantifies the qualitative factors in the travel mode selection model by using the TODIM method of multi-attribute decision-making considering the psychological behavior of decision makers,and analyzes the traffic mode choice behavior of college teachers and students in Urumqi.The results show that under the framework of TODIM,the subway has the highest overall dominance,private cars,BRT,taxis and conventional public transport decrease in turn;after the subway is completed,the probability of choosing this travel mode is the highest,the probability of private car,conventional public transport and BRT travel is reduced,and the probability of conventional public transport selection is the largest.The research results are consistent with the actual traffic mode choice behavior of travelers,which verifies the adaptability and effectiveness of TODIM method in the study of traffic mode choice to a certain extent.

关 键 词：出行方式选择 城市交通 TODIM方法 SP调查 参照点 

分 类 号：U491.1[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]