黄河流域经济-能源-生态-科技耦合协调发展时空格局及其影响因素  

Coupling coordination development and spatial differentiation of economy-energy-ecology-science and technology in the Yellow River basin

作　　者：张雪薇 杜凤莲[1,2] 申晓燕 宗刚 ZHANG Xuewei;DU Fenglian;SHEN Xiaoyan;ZONG Gang(School of Economics and Management,Inner Mongolia University,Hohhot 010021,China;Research Center of Geoeconomics Data and Engineering,Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region,Hohhot 010021,China;School of Economics and Management,Beijing University of Technology,Beijing 100124,China)

机构地区：[1]内蒙古大学经济管理学院,呼和浩特010021 [2]内蒙古自治区地缘经济数据工程技术研究中心,呼和浩特010021 [3]北京工业大学经济与管理学院,北京100124

出　　处：《安全与环境学报》2023年第7期2545-2556,共12页Journal of Safety and Environment

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(72164030,71563033,72163023,72104114);内蒙古自治区教育厅基金项目(NJSY22333)。

摘　　要：推动黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展具有重要的战略意义。基于高质量发展理念构建经济-能源-生态-科技综合评价指标体系,运用熵值法对综合指数进行衡量,引入耦合协调模型测度2005—2019年黄河流域地区经济-能源-生态-科技耦合协调度,借助ArcGIS方法分析耦合协调度时空格局,并构建空间计量模型进一步揭示其影响因素。研究结果显示:1)从综合评价结果来看,黄河流域多数省份经济-能源-生态-科技发展水平呈现波动上升趋势,其中河南、四川综合发展水平上升幅度大于其他省份;2)从耦合协调度来看,黄河流域经济-能源-生态-科技耦合协调度处于中高水平,大多数省份耦合协调程度呈现波动上升趋势;3)在空间权重下黄河流域经济-能源-生态-科技耦合协调度存在显著的正向空间溢出效应,目标层指标中生态和能源是影响黄河流域耦合协调发展的重要因素,其中一级指标中经济质量、能源消费、环境治理、环境破坏和科技产出对耦合协调度影响相对较大。It is of great strategic significance to promote ecological protection and high-quality development of the Yellow River basin. Based on the concept of high-quality development, a comprehensive evaluation index system of economy-energy-ecology-science and technology was constructed, and the comprehensive index was measured by entropy method. Then, the coupling coordination model was introduced to measure the coupling coordination degree of economy-energy-ecology-science and technology in the Yellow River Basin from 2005 to 2019. The spatial and temporal pattern of coupling coordination degree was analyzed by ArcGIS method, and the spatial econometric model was constructed to further reveal its influencing factors. The results show that :(1) From the comprehensive evaluation results, the development level of economy-energy-ecology-science and technology of most provinces in the Yellow River basin showed a fluctuating upward trend, and the increase of the comprehensive development level of Henan and Sichuan was greater than that of other provinces.(2) From the perspective of coupling coordination degree, the coupling coordination degree of economy-energy-ecology-science and technology in the Yellow River basin was at a medium-high level, and the coupling coordination degree of most provinces showed a trend of fluctuation and rise. After 2007, the mean value of the coupling coordination degree was above 0.5, indicating that the coupling coordination degree in the Yellow River basin was at a medium-high level, and most provinces in the Yellow River basin showed an upward trend.(3) Under the spatial weight, coupling coordination degree of economy-energy-ecology-science and technology in the Yellow River had significant positive spatial spillover effects. Among the target level indicators, ecology and energy were important factors affecting the coupling and coordinated development of the Yellow River basin. Among the first-level indicators, economic quality, energy consumption, environmental governance, environmental da

关 键 词：环境学 黄河流域 经济-能源-生态-科技 耦合协调 空间计量模型 

分 类 号：X22[环境科学与工程—环境科学]