武汉城市圈绿色发展时空演变及影响因素  

Spatial-temporal evolution and influencing factors of green development in Wuhan Metropolitan Area

作　　者：陈义菁 梅琳[1,2] 张涛 敖荣军[1,2] CHEN Yijing;MEI Lin;ZHANG TAO;AO RONG JUN(Institute of Sustainable Development,Central China Normal University,Wuhan 430079,China;Key Laboratory for Geographical Process Analysis and Simulation of Hubei Province,Wuhan 430079,China)

机构地区：[1]华中师范大学可持续发展研究中心,武汉430079 [2]地理过程与空间分析模拟湖北省重点实验室,武汉430079

出　　处：《华中师范大学学报（自然科学版）》2023年第4期589-598,共10页Journal of Central China Normal University：Natural Sciences

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41401165);湖北省社会科学基金项目(2020041).

摘　　要：绿色发展对于建设生态文明新时代的美丽中国至关重要.该文从绿色社会、绿色经济和绿色生态三个维度构建评价指标体系,综合采用ESDA、地理探测器模型等方法,深入分析2010-2020年武汉城市圈绿色发展时空演变特征及其影响因素.结果表明:1)从时间演变来看,武汉城市圈绿色发展水平整体表现为“直线”上升趋势,呈现出武汉市最高、天门市最低的格局,区域内部差异显著.2)从空间演变来看,武汉城市圈绿色发展空间格局相对稳定,2010年到2020年间逐渐形成“中间高、四周低”的空间分布特征.3)从空间相关性来看,2010-2020年武汉城市圈绿色发展呈空间正相关,空间集聚程度逐渐减弱,以L-H集聚区为主,具有“离散”和“分化”的现象.4)从影响因素来看,武汉城市圈绿色发展空间分异是经济发展、科技水平、政府调控、产业结构、对外开放与环境规制等因素共同作用的结果.其中,经济发展和科技水平对武汉城市圈绿色发展空间分异格局的影响程度最深.Green development is crucial to building a beautiful China in the new era of ecological civilization.In this paper,the evaluation index system is constructed from three dimensions of green society,green economy and green ecology,and ESDA,geographic detector model and other methods are adopted to deeply analyze the space-temporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors of green development in Wuhan Metropolitan Area from 2010 to 2020.The results are shown as follows.1)From the perspective of time evolution,the green development level of Wuhan Metropolitan Area exhibits a“straight line”upward trend,showing the pattern of highest in Wuhan and lowest in Tianmen City,with significant regional differences.2)From the perspective of spatial evolution,the spatial pattern of green development in Wuhan Metropolitan Area is relatively stable,gradually forming the spatial distribution characteristics of“high in the middle and low around it”from 2010 to 2020.3)From the perspective of spatial correlation,from 2010 to 2020,the green development of Wuhan Metropolitan Area displayed a positive spatial correlation,and the degree of spatial agglomeration gradually weakened,mainly in L-H agglomeration area,with the phenomenon of“discrete”and“differentiation”.4)From the perspective of influencing factors,the spatial differentiation of green development in Wuhan Metropolitan Area is the joint result of economic development,scientific and technological level,government regulation,industrial structure,opening to the outside world and environmental regulation.Among them,economic development and scientific and technological level have the deepest impact on the spatial differentiation pattern of green development in Wuhan Metropolitan Area.

关 键 词：绿色发展 地理探测器 武汉城市圈 时空演变 影响因素 

分 类 号：F293.2[经济管理—国民经济] B845.65[哲学宗教—心理学]