城市轨道交通大小交路乘客出行选择行为模型  

Passenger travel choice behavior mode of full-length and short-turn routing in urban rail transit

作　　者：胡晨皓 许得杰[1,2] 巩亮[1,2] 杨阳阳[1,2] HU Chenhao;XU Dejie;GONG Liang;YANG Yangyang(School of Traffic and Transportation,Lanzhou Jiaotong University,Lanzhou 730070,China;Key Laboratory of Railway lndustry on Plateau Railway Transportation Intelligent Management and Control,Lanzhou Jiaotong University,Lanzhou 730070,China)

机构地区：[1]兰州交通大学交通运输学院,兰州730070 [2]兰州交通大学高原铁路运输智慧管控铁路行业重点实验室,兰州730070

出　　处：《交通科技与经济》2023年第5期18-24,共7页Technology & Economy in Areas of Communications

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(72261025);甘肃省高等学校创新基金项目(2021B-103);兰州交通大学-天津大学联合创新基金项目(2021056)。

摘　　要：随着我国城市轨道交通大小交路运营组织模式的广泛应用,准确描述大小交路乘客出行选择行为,对列车开行方案的编制具有重要影响。既有研究普遍认为乘客在面临相同起讫点的多交路出行时具有选择直达列车的偏好,缺少对乘客出行选择行为的研究。以大小交路跨交路出行乘客为研究对象,通过拟定不同到达交路列车形式及满载率设定相应出行情境,由此将大小交路出行的乘客类型进行划分,并针对无直达偏好类型的乘客,分析其自身属性、路径信息、出行距离和列车满载率等因素对乘车选择的影响。结果表明:无直达偏好类型的乘客占比高,出行选择主要受出行距离及当前到站列车的满载率影响。With the wide application of the operation mode of full-length and short-turn routing in China,the accurate description of passengers’travel choice behavior on full-length and short-turn routing has an important impact on the establishment of train operation scheme.The existing research generally believes that passengers have direct travel preferences when facing multi-routing with the same origin and destination,and lack of research on passengers’travel choice behavior.Taking the passengers traveling on the full-length and short-turn routing cross roads as the research object,by assuming different train forms and full load factor,the corresponding travel scenarios are set,and the types of passengers who travel by full-length and short-turn routing are divided.For passengers who have no direct preference,the influence of their own attributes,routing information,travel distance and load factor on their choice is analyzed.The results show that the proportion of passengers no direct preference is high,and their travel choices are mainly affected by the travel distance and the load factor of the current arriving trains.

关 键 词：城市轨道交通 乘客选择行为 SP调查 大小交路 LOGIT模型 

分 类 号：U121[交通运输工程]