范式转换:中美关系的新态势、新定位  

Paradigm Shift:The New Posture and Reorientation of Sino-U.S.Relations

作　　者：储昭根 Chu Zhaogen

机构地区：[1]浙江理工大学 [2]浙江理工大学“一带一路”与非传统安全研究中心,杭州310018 [3]兰州大学一带一路研究中心

出　　处：《亚太安全与海洋研究》2023年第5期104-124,I0004,共22页Asia-Pacific Security and Maritime Affairs

基　　金：国家社会科学基金后期资助重点项目“竞合主义与安全研究的转型”(编号:20FGJA002)。

摘　　要：随着中美两国在经贸、高科技领域博弈加剧,中美关系正在发生质变,呈现出全面竞争甚至对抗的新态势。但用“冷战”或“新冷战”来定义当前中美关系是巨大的谬误。而以美国两大著名理论“进攻性现实主义”或“修昔底德陷阱”来解释中美两国关系,亦因错误的理论前提而存在明显瑕疵。从中美竞争维度、美国全球重心及中美实力对比视角来看,中美之争不是美苏“冷战”的重演,而是美国对中国全面打压和孤立,甚至是系统性遏制。从时代主题的变化和发展看,上述诸概念理论均无法定义竞合时代的中美关系,因而需要新的理论及范式转换,也就是用竞合主义来理解和定位中美关系。With the intensification of economic,trade,and high-tech competition between China and the United States,China-US relations have experienced unprecedented fluctuations.Bilateral relations are undergoing a fundamental qualitative change,manifested in a new trend from comprehensive competition to comprehensive confrontation and conflict.However,it is a big mistake to define the current China-US relations in terms of“Cold War”or“New Cold War.”The two well-known American theories,“offensive realism”and the“Thucydides Trap”,are also obviously flawed in explaining China-US relations,as both contain false theoretical premises.From the perspective of Sino-US competition,the US global focus,and the comparison of power between the two,Sino-US relations are not a“New Cold War”but rather a comprehensive suppression and isolation of China by the US,and even a containment of China by the entire international system dominated by the US.With the changing and evolving themes of the times,the aforementioned concepts or theories cannot adequately define China-US relations in the era of“coopetition”,and a new theoretical paradigm shift is needed.It is time to employ“coopetitivism”to better understand and reposition China-US relations.

关 键 词：中美关系 新冷战 修昔底德陷阱 进攻性现实主义 竞合主义 范式转换 

分 类 号：D820[政治法律—政治学]