某型火箭扫雷车开辟通路仿真研究  

Simulated Research on the Breaching Probability of Obstacle-Breaking Rocket Launchers

作　　者：高军营 张建新 吴俊 陈海鹏 漆燚 谢江兵 GAO Junying;ZHANG Jianxin;WU Jun;CHEN Haipeng;QI Yi;XIE Jiangbing(Jiangshan Heavy Industries Research Institute Co.,Ltd.,China North Industries Group Co.,Ltd.,Xiangyang 441057,Hubei,China)

机构地区：[1]中国兵器工业集团江山重工研究院有限公司,湖北襄阳441057

出　　处：《火炮发射与控制学报》2023年第5期72-78,共7页Journal of Gun Launch & Control

摘　　要：火箭扫雷装备因其火力充足、机动灵活的特点受到越来越多的关注,但其破障概率却受到很多因素的影响。为了探索影响火箭扫雷车开辟通路概率的主要因素,基于蒙特卡洛算法和聚类算法建立了破障弹开辟通路概率的计算数学模型,探究了横向和纵向密集度、破障弹数量、瞄准点目标个数等参数对破障开辟通路概率的影响。结果表明:开辟通路概率与射击横、纵向密集度存在最佳匹配效应,在射击方向精度一定的前提下开辟通路概率与射击距离散布关系耦合密切;当纵向密集度一定的情况下,降低横向密集度,对提高开辟通路概率的效果比较显著,但当破障弹数量较少时,降低横向密集度并不能提高开辟通路的概率。在纵向密集度较低的情况下,采用多目标瞄准射击方案能够大大提高开辟通路概率,且开辟通路概率与射击瞄准点数量存在最佳的匹配关系。研究结果能够为破障弹开辟通路时的弹药选取、耗弹量测算提供依据,并为开辟通路作业方案的选取提供有效建议。Obstacle-breaking rocket launchers have drawn more and more attention due to their intense firepower and maneuverability.However,their breaching probability is affected by a lot of factors.In order to investigate the main factors that influence the breaching probability of obstacle-breaking rocket launchers,a mathematical model was created based on the Monte-Carlo simulation and clustering algorithms.Factors,such as transversal and longitudinal dispersion,rocket number,and target number etc.were analyzed.The results show that an optimum match can be observed between the breaching probability and dispersion,and a strong relationship can be observerd bewteen the breaching probability and distance dispersion.Reducing transversal dispersion improves the breaching probability significantly when the longitudinal dispersion keeps unchanged.However,with a limited number of rockets,the breaching probability cannot be improved when decreasing the transversal dispersion.Furthermore,with a large longitudinal dispersion,adopting the multi-target fire plan can profoundly increase the breaching probability,and an optimum match between the breaching probability and target number can be obtained.The research results provide reference for selecting the right type of breaching ammunition and calculating its consumption.They also offer effective suggestions for breaching plan determination.

关 键 词：火箭弹 开辟通路概率 密集度 蒙特卡洛仿真 聚类算法 

分 类 号：TJ393[兵器科学与技术—火炮、自动武器与弹药工程]