基于DPSIR-SBM框架的旅游生态安全时空动态及影响路径——以云南省为例  

Spatio-temporal Evolution and Influence Paths of Tourism Ecological Security Based on DPSIR-SBM Framework:A Case Study of Yunnan Province

作　　者：陆保一 明庆忠 史鹏飞 刘安乐 郭向阳[4] LU Baoyi;MING Qingzhong;SHI Pengfei;LIU Anle;GUO Xiangyang(Faculty of Geography,Yunnan Normal University,Kunming 650500;Institute of Tourism Culture Industry Research,Yunnan University of Finance and Economics,Kunming 650221;School of Economics and Management,Liupanshui Normal University,Liupanshui 553004;School of Business Administration,Guizhou University of Finance and Economics,Guiyang 550025,China)

机构地区：[1]云南师范大学地理学部,云南昆明650500 [2]云南财经大学旅游文化产业研究院,云南昆明650221 [3]六盘水师范学院经济管理学院,贵州六盘水553004 [4]贵州财经大学工商管理学院,贵州贵阳550025

出　　处：《地理与地理信息科学》2023年第6期134-142,共9页Geography and Geo-Information Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41961021);教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(22YJCZH040);贵州省科技厅基础研究项目(黔科合基础-ZK[2023]一般444);贵州省哲学社会科学创新团队项目(0057);贵州省高等学校智慧旅游创新团队项目(黔教技[2022]017号)。

摘　　要：该文基于跨时期的DPSIR-SBM理论框架遴选评价指标,利用考虑非期望产出的Super-SBM模型探查2007—2019年云南省旅游生态安全系统的时空动态特征,并借助模糊集定性比较分析(fsQCA)方法剖析关键因素的复杂交互影响路径。结果表明:①研究期内云南省旅游生态安全水平呈波动上升发展态势,各市州发展差距逐渐缩小,极化发展的“马太效应”有所减弱;②各市州旅游生态安全等级的跃升态势明显,旅游生态安全水平经历了极化布局至均衡化布局的演变过程,并在期末总体表现为“核心—边缘”式空间结构;③影响旅游生态安全水平的原因具有非对称性及多重并发性,实现高旅游生态安全水平的影响路径包括多元要素聚合型、政府投入弥补型,导致非高旅游生态安全水平的影响路径包括产业基础薄弱型、核心要素抑制型。Tourism ecological security is of great significance for promoting the sustainable development of regional tourism.This paper selects evaluation indices based on the inter-temporal DPSIR-SBM theoretical framework,uses the Super-SBM model considering unexpected output to explore the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of the tourism ecological security system in Yunnan Province from 2007 to 2019,and analyzes the complex interaction path of key influencing factors with the help of fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis(fsQCA).It is found as follows.①In terms of temporal change characteristics,the level of tourism ecological security shows a development trend of rising volatility,the development gap between cities is gradually narrowing,and the Matthew effect of polarized development has weakened.②In terms of spatial evolution characteristics,the leaping trend of tourism ecological security level of each prefecture-level city is obvious,which promotes the evolution of tourism ecological security level from polarization layout to balanced layout,and the overall spatial pattern at the end of the study period is"core-edge"structure.③In terms of influence paths,the reasons affecting the level of tourism ecological security have the feature of asymmetry and multiple concurrency,and thus form multiple equivalent paths.The influence paths to achieve a high level of tourism ecological security include multi-element aggregation paths and government investment compensation paths,while the influence paths that lead to non-high tourism ecological security levels include weak industrial foundation paths and core element-inhibiting paths.

关 键 词：旅游生态安全 DPSIR-SBM框架 时空变化特征 影响路径 

分 类 号：F592.7[经济管理—旅游管理] X171.1[经济管理—产业经济]