农产品流通数字化是否促进了农村三产融合?——基于空间杜宾模型和门槛效应模型的分析  

Does the Digitalization of Agricultural Products Circulation Promote the Integration of the Three Industries in Rural Areas?——Analysis Based on Spatial Durbin Model and Threshold Effect Model

作　　者：薛叶莉 陈灿煌[1] Xue Yeli;Chen Canhuang(School of Economics and Management,Hunan Institute of Science and Technology,Yueyang,Hunan 414006,China)

机构地区：[1]湖南理工学院经济与管理学院,湖南岳阳414006

出　　处：《西部经济管理论坛》2023年第6期32-44,共13页West Forum on Economy and Management

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“农村三产融合发展助推乡村振兴的内在机理与路径选择研究”(19BJY115)。

摘　　要：数字化赋能农产品流通是农村三产融合发展的重要动力。文章首先从理论层面阐释了农产品流通数字化对农村三产融合的作用机制,然后,选取2012—2021年我国31个省(区、市)的面板数据,实证分析了农产品流通数字化对农村三产融合的影响。研究结果表明:(1)农产品流通数字化显著地促进了农村三产融合,并且存在显著的地区差异,即东部地区大于中西部地区;(2)除农村三产融合本身具有正向空间溢出效应和惯性效应外,农产品流通数字化对农村三产融合也存在空间溢出效应;(3)农村人力资本水平越高,农产品流通数字化对农村三产融合的作用越显著。基于此,文章提出了相应的政策建议。The digital empowerment of agricultural product circulation plays a significant role in the integration of the three industries(primary,secondary,and tertiary sectors)in rural areas.This paper first elucidates the mechanism of how the digitalization of agricultural product circulation affects rural three-industry integration from a theoretical perspective.Then,using panel data from 31 provinces(regions,cities)in China from 2012 to 2021,it empirically analyzes the impact of agricultural product circulation digitalization on this integration.The study reveals that:(1)Digitalization of agricultur-al product circulation significantly promotes the integration of the three industries in rural areas and exhibits notable re-gional disparities,being more pronounced in the eastern regions than in the central and western regions.(2)Apart from the positive spatial spillover effect and inertia effect inherent in the integration of rural industries,the digitalization of agricul-tural product circulation also contributes to spatial spillover effects.(3)The higher the level of rural human capital,the more significant is the impact of agricultural product circulation digitalization on the integration of the three industries in rural areas.Based on these findings,the paper proposes relevant policy recommendations.

关 键 词：农产品流通数字化 农村三产融合 空间溢出效应 人力资本 非线性模型 

分 类 号：F062.9[经济管理—政治经济学] F323