考虑大用户报装的新兴区域负荷预测研究与应用  

Research and Application of Emerging Regional Load Forecasting Considering Large Users

作　　者：杨德格 胡陈晨 YANG Dege;HU Chenchen(Wenzhou Power Supply company,Wenzhou 325000)

机构地区：[1]国网浙江省电力有限公司温州供电公司,浙江温州325000

出　　处：《电力安全技术》2023年第11期37-40,共4页Electric Safety Technology

摘　　要：负荷预测是电网节能经济调度的基础,而有效的大用户负荷预测是提高整个电网负荷预测准确率的关键因素。以典型的新兴区域远景负荷预测为例,综合对比常规负荷预测结果及部分大用户报装容量之间的数据差异,通过对预计新增大用户负荷进行统计分析并进行负荷预测校验修正,从而制定大用户供电策略,不仅提高了地区负荷预测的精度,还对电网规划、安全经济运行等提供了有力支撑。Load forecasting is the basis of energy-saving and economic dispatching of the power grid,while effective forecasting of large user load is the key factor to improve the load forecasting accuracy of the whole power grid.Taking the typical emerging regional future load forecasting as an example,data differences are comprehensively compared between the conventional load forecasting results and some large users’capacity reported,and the statistical analysis are made on the expected new large user loads with load prediction calibration corrections so as to develop large user power supply strategies,which not only improves the accuracy of the regional load forecasting,but also provides a strong support for power grid planning,safe and economic operation and so on.

关 键 词：新兴区域 负荷预测 大用户 供电策略 

分 类 号：TM73[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]