我国国际消费中心城市发展水平测度及动态演进  

Research on the Measurement of the Development Level of China's International Consumption Center City and Its Dynamic Evolution

作　　者：曾庆均[1] 易露 唐菁 ZENG Qing-jun;YI Lu;TANG Jing(Research Institute for the Construction of the Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Circle,Chongqing Technology and Business University,Chongqing 400067,China)

机构地区：[1]重庆工商大学成渝地区双城经济圈建设研究院,重庆市400067

出　　处：《中国流通经济》2024年第1期80-94,共15页China Business and Market

基　　金：国家社会科学基金西部项目“西部陆海新通道与内陆开放型经济融合发展的机制路径研究”(20XJY001);重庆市教委人文社会科学研究项目“成渝地区双城经济圈农产品流通数字化转型的驱动机制与路径突破研究”(23SKGH186);重庆工商大学研究生创新型科研项目“‘双循环’新发展格局下国际消费中心城市发展的实现机制与路径研究”(yjscxx2023-211-85)。

摘　　要：国际消费中心城市是消费的高级形态载体。从国际知名度、消费繁荣度、商业活跃度、到达便利度和消费满意度五个维度构建我国国际消费中心城市发展评价指标体系,借助熵权TOPSIS法对其发展水平进行测度,运用核密度估计、收敛性分析、修正的引力模型以及社会网络分析方法,以北京、天津、上海、重庆、广州等25个具有竞争力的城市为样本,剖析我国国际消费中心城市发展的动态演进特征。研究发现,2017—2022年我国国际消费中心城市发展水平逐年上升但处于低水平发展阶段,城市间发展差距大且呈现出梯队层级分布态势;从各维度看,国际知名度、消费繁荣度、商业活跃度和消费满意度四个维度发展水平表现为上升趋势,消费繁荣度涨幅最大,到达便利度发展水平较低;国际消费中心城市间发展的绝对差距较大,但城市的追赶效应使得相对差距缩小;从空间格局看,城市初步形成了北部“北京+天津”集聚圈、南部“广州+深圳”集聚圈以及以上海为首的长江联系带的“两圈一带”总体空间网络格局,表现出“高者全局集聚、低者局部扩散”的集散效应特征,城市间有着“核心城市占据主导,边缘城市结构优化”的非均衡空间联系。因此,应立足城市比较优势、深入挖掘并梯次培育特色消费增长点,完善城市交通基础设施建设、突出重点打造现代综合立体交通网络,积极把握我国国际消费中心城市发展的动态变化过程、多层级优化城市消费资源空间配置,重视我国国际消费中心城市发展的空间网络结构特征,逐步形成以点带面、以圈扩容、结构优化的消费空间发展格局。International consumption center city is the advanced form carrier of consumption.The authors construct the evaluation index system of international consumption center city development from such five dimensions as international popularity,consumption prosperity,commercial activity,arrival convenience and consumption satisfaction,measure the development level of international consumption center city with the help of entropy weight-TOPSIS method,and analyze the dynamic evolution characteristics of China's international consumption center city development by applying the kernel density estimation,convergence analysis,modified gravitational model,and social network analysis method by using 25 competitive cities such as Beijing,Tianjin,Shanghai,Chongqing and Guangzhou,and so on.It is found that:from 2017 to 2022,the development level of China's international consumption center cities rises year by year but is in the stage of low-level development,and the development gap between cities is large and shows the echelon tier distribution;from the perspective of each dimension,the development level of the four dimensions,namely,international popularity,consumption prosperity,commercial activity and consumption satisfaction,shows an upward trend,with the consumption prosperity rising the most,and the development level of the degree of convenience of arrival being lower;absolute development gaps between international consumption center cities are large,but the catching-up effect of cities has led to a narrowing of relative gaps;In terms of spatial pattern,the"Beijing+Tianjin"agglomeration circle has been formed in the north region,the"Guangzhou+Shenzhen"agglomeration circle has been formed in the south region,and the overall spatial network pattern of"two circles and one belt"has been initially formed in Yangtze River connection belt taking Shanghai as the leading city,showing the characteristics of the dispersal effect of"global agglomeration of the high and local diffusion of the low",and the uneven spatial connection betwe

关 键 词：国际消费中心城市 综合发展水平测度 动态演进特征 

分 类 号：F279.33[经济管理—企业管理]