京津冀地区金融发展对碳排放的影响研究——基于STIRPAT的空间杜宾模型  

The Impact of Financial Development on Carbon Emissions in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region:a Spatial Durbin Model Based on STIRPAT

作　　者：韩子烨 张颖[1] 顾雪松[1] Han Ziye;Zhang Ying;Gu Xuesong(School of Economics and Management,Beijing Forestry University,100083,P.R.China)

机构地区：[1]北京林业大学经济管理学院

出　　处：《北京林业大学学报（社会科学版）》2024年第1期40-47,共8页Journal of Beijing Forestry University ：Social Sciences

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目“林业碳中和多目标效益的计量开发及其耦合优化研究”(72173011);教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目“低碳发展目标下绿色信贷促进重污染行业技术创新的机制、效果与政策优化研究”(22YJA790015)。

摘　　要：基于2005—2019年北京、天津两个直辖市和河北11个地级市的城市面板数据,测算了各城市的人均CO_(2)排放量,建立了包含金融规模和金融效率在内的扩展STIRPAT固定效应模型,并通过中介效应模型和空间杜宾模型,探究地区金融发展对人均CO_(2)排放量的作用机制和空间效应。结果表明:(1)金融规模扩张促进了房价提升,推高了企业的生产成本,影响传统制造业的布局迁移,从而抑制碳排放;(2)提升金融效率为工业企业扩张提供了融资便利,产生的规模效应促进了碳排放;(3)金融发展对技术创新的支持作用不明显;(4)京津冀城市群的碳排放之间存在着负反馈效应,不利于城市群环境治理的协调发展;(5)与本地效应相比,金融规模和金融效率对邻近城市碳排放影响的方向一致,但强度较弱。基于以上结论,提出加快完善绿色金融体系、强化对绿色创新的信贷支持、坚定淘汰过剩产能等建议。Based on the panel data of Beijing,Tianjin and 11 cities in Hebei from 2005 to 2019,this paper measures the per capita carbon dioxide emissions of each city and establishes an extended STIRPAT model including financial scale and financial efficiency.On this basis,the paper establishes mediation effect model and spatial Durbin model to explore the mechanism and spatial effect of financial development on per capita carbon dioxide emissions.The results show as follows:①The expansion of financial scale increases the housing prices,pushes up the production cost of enterprises,affects the layout migration of traditional manufacturing,and thus curbs carbon emissions.②The improvement of financial efficiency provides financing convenience for the expansion of industrial enterprises,and the resulting scale effect promotes carbon emissions.③The role of financial development in supporting technological innovation is not significant.④There exists negative feedback effect between the carbon emissions of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei cities,which is not conducive to the coordinated development of urban agglomeration's environmental governance.⑤Compared with the local effect,the influence of financial scale and financial efficiency on carbon emissions of neighboring cities is weaker.Based on the above findings,policy suggestions are proposed on speeding up the improvement of green finance system,promoting credit support for green innovation,and resolutely eliminating excess production capacity.

关 键 词：碳排放 金融规模 金融效率 空间杜宾模型 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济] X22[环境科学与工程—环境科学]