气候变化和土地利用变化驱动下的生物多样性系统分析新框架  

A new framework for biodiversity system analysis driven by climate change and land use change

作　　者：杨青[1] 刘耕源[2,3] 杨志峰 YANG Qing;LIU Gengyuan;YANG Zhifeng(Advanced Interdisciplinary Institute of Environment and Ecology,Beijing Normal University,Zhuhai 519087,China;State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control,School of Environment,Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875,China;Beijing Engineering Research Center for Watershed Environmental Restoration&Integrated Ecological Regulation,Beijing 100875,China;Key Laboratory of City Cluster Environmental Safety and Green Development of the Ministry of Education,School of Ecology,Environment and Resources,Guangdong University of Technology,Guangzhou 510006,China)

机构地区：[1]北京师范大学环境与生态前沿交叉研究院,珠海519087 [2]北京师范大学环境学院,环境模拟与污染控制国家重点联合实验室,北京100875 [3]北京市流域环境生态修复与综合调控工程技术研究中心,北京100875 [4]广东工业大学生态环境与资源学院,大湾区城市环境安全与绿色发展教育部重点实验室,广州510006

出　　处：《生态学报》2024年第3期871-884,共14页Acta Ecologica Sinica

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(52100212,52070021);大湾区城市环境安全与绿色发展教育部重点实验室(广东工业大学)专项经费资助;海南国家公园研究院科研项目(KY-23ZK02)。

摘　　要：尽管目前已有大量关于生物多样性评估的研究,但同时考虑生物多样性多维评估、多驱动因素对生物多样性变化的影响评估及生物多样性变化中长期动态模拟预测等研究仍相对缺乏,这会引起对生物多样性不同维度变化水平的片面理解,导致生物多样性保护工程管理决策失误。基于此,综述现有生物多样性评估维度、驱动因素及历史评估的研究进展,并基于现有研究存在的局限性提出生物多样性多维评估方法与人地耦合系统下生物多样性模拟模型构建思路,基于此提出气候变化和土地利用变化驱动下的生物多样性系统分析新框架。该框架包括:①生物多样性“潜力-贡献-重要性”多维评估理论与方法构建;②人地耦合系统下生物多样性模拟模型构建;③人地耦合系统下生物多样性预测及生物多样性保护工程效果仿真与管理。该框架可为生物多样性保护工程管理及可持续开展提供科学建议。Substantial studies have shown that biodiversity assessment should include multiple dimensions.Individual biodiversity assessment index will confuse the understanding of different biodiversity levels,resulting in mistakes in the management and implementations of biodiversity conservation programs.Additionally,policy makers at national and local levels need more diversified information on biodiversity,and to integrate different types of biodiversity assessment results to make them more operable when guiding sustainable development of biodiversity conservation programs.Yet,it still lacks multi-dimensional biodiversity assessment studies.Moreover,quantitative simulations of biodiversity dynamics under interaction effects of climate-land use change are also still lacking,thereby it cannot determine and assess the short,medium,and long-term effects of biodiversity protection programs,which bring challenges to management and sustainable development of biodiversity conservation programs to adapt to interactions between continuous climate change and rapid land use change.Under such a circumstance,this study first summarizes the research progresses of existing biodiversity assessment dimensions,driving factors,and historical assessment,then,based on the limitations of current related studies,proposes the train of thoughts to build a multi-dimensional biodiversity assessment method and a biodiversity simulation model under the human-nature coupling system.Based on these,this study further proposes a new framework of biodiversity systematic analysis driven by interaction effects of climate change and land use change.This framework mainly includes three sections:(1)multi-dimensional assessment theory and method of biodiversity“potential-contribution-significance”.This study states that the three significant biodiversity assessment dimensions should include(a)biodiversity potential,which is the upper limit of biodiversity in a region,and also directly affects the upper limit of effects of biodiversity conservation program

关 键 词：生物多样性保护 气候变化 土地利用变化 生态工程效果仿真 驱动机制 工程管理与调控 

分 类 号：G63[文化科学—教育学]