“一带一路”区域分工、数字化水平与中国产业链韧性  

The Belt and Road Regional Division of Labor,Digital Level and the Resilience of China’s Industrial Chains

作　　者：潘雨晨 陈志成 刘震 PAN Yuchen;CHEN Zhicheng;LIU Zhen

机构地区：[1]山东大学国际问题研究院,山东威海264209 [2]山东社会科学院经济研究所,济南250002 [3]山东大学商学院,山东威海264209

出　　处：《经济问题探索》2024年第2期65-81,共17页Inquiry Into Economic Issues

基　　金：山东省社会科学基金青年项目“双循环下山东制造业全球产业链稳定性提升策略研究”(21DJJJ13),项目负责人:潘雨晨。

摘　　要：基于对“一带一路”区域分工影响中国产业链韧性以及数字化水平在其中发挥的作用的理论机制分析,本文从增加值贸易角度优化和改进衡量产业链韧性的指标,并构建“区域分工参与度”指数,从而对理论机制进行实证检验。结果表明;参与“一带一路”区域分工可以通过技术创新效应和产业集聚效应两个传导机制显著促进中国产业链韧性的提升;“一带一路”数字化水平会在区域分工影响中国产业链韧性的过程中产生了显著的正向调节作用;“一带一路”区域分工会在不同分工参与方向、不同行业以及不同地区下对中国产业链韧性产生异质性影响,而数字化水平在不同的异质性检验中都增强了“一带一路”区域分工对中国产业链韧性的提升作用。本文不仅从理论上为高质量参与“一带一路”区域分工提供了基础,也为维护和增强中国产业链韧性指出了可行路径。Based on the theoretical mechanism analysis of the impact of the Belt and Road regional division of labor on the resilience of China's industrial chains and the role of digital level in it,From the perspective of value-added trade,this research optimized and improved the indicators that measuring the industrial chain resilience,and constructed the index of regional division of labor participation,therefore,empirically test the theoretical mechanism.The results indicate that participation in the Belt and Road regional division of labor can significantly promote the resilience of China's industrial chains through the two transmission mechanisms of technological innovation effect and industrial agglomeration effect.The digital level of the Belt and Road will have a significant positive moderating effect on the process of regional division of labor affecting the resilience of China's industrial chains;The Belt and Road regional division of labor will have a heterogeneous impact on the resilience of China's industrial chains in different directions of participation,different industries and different regions,and the level of digitalization has enhanced the role of the Belt and Road regional division of labor in improving the resilience of China's industrial chains in different heterogeneity tests.This paper not only provides a theoretical basis for high-quality participation in the Belt and Road regional division of labor,but also points out a feasible path to maintain and enhance the resilience of China's industrial chains.

关 键 词：“一带一路” 区域分工 数字化水平 产业链韧性 

分 类 号：F740[经济管理—国际贸易]