基于组合赋权-云模型的城市轨道交通换乘站运营安全评估研究  

Operation Safety Assessment of Urban Rail Transit Transfer Station Based on Combinational Weighting-Cloud Model

作　　者：鲁亚东 黄远春[1] 刘丹阳 潘寒川[1] 张煜睿 李思杰 刘志钢[1] LU Yadong;HUANG Yuanchun;LIU Danyang;PAN Hanchuan;ZHANG Yurui;LI Sijie;LIU Zhigang(College of Urban Railway Transportation,Shanghai University of Engineering Science,Shanghai 201620,China)

机构地区：[1]上海工程技术大学城市轨道交通学院,上海201620

出　　处：《铁道运输与经济》2024年第1期174-183,共10页Railway Transport and Economy

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(72371154;52072235)。

摘　　要：换乘站作为城市轨道交通联络线网的载体,其运营安全状况是影响整个线网运营的关键因素。针对现有换乘站安全评估影响因素不全面、评价标准不完善等问题,构建换乘站运营安全评估指标体系,并引入直觉模糊二元语义改进最优最劣法确定指标权重。同时,在充分考虑主观评价的犹豫性和模糊性的基础上,提出基于云模型的定性语言定量化的重构方法,并通过对比综合云与标准云的相似度给出评估结论。以上海地铁龙阳路换乘站为例,构建影响龙阳路站运营安全的指标体系,得出龙阳路站运营安全水平及设备因素对其运营安全影响最大的新结论,验证该评估方法的有效性,为准确掌握轨道交通换乘站运营安全现状,提高运营安全水平提供理论支撑。The transfer station is the connection carrier of the urban rail transit network,and its operation safety has become a key factor affecting the operation of the whole network.In view of the problems of unilateral consideration of influencing factors for safety assessment and imperfect assessment standards in existing transfer station research,an assessment index system of transfer station operation safety was constructed,and the intuitionistic fuzzy binary semantics was introduced to improve the best-worst method and determine index weight.At the same time,on the basis of fully considering the hesitancy and fuzziness of subjective assessment,the quantification reconstruction method of qualitative language based on the cloud model was proposed,and the assessment conclusion was given by comparing the similarity between comprehensive cloud and standard cloud.Taking the Shanghai Longyang Road transfer station as an example,this paper constructed an index system affecting the operation safety of Longyang Road station and concluded that the operation safety level and equipment factors had the greatest impact on the operation safety of Longyang Road station.The paper also verified the effectiveness of this assessment method and provided theoretical support for accurately grasping the operation safety status of rail transit transfer stations and improving the operation safety level.

关 键 词：城市轨道交通 换乘站 安全评估 组合赋权 云模型 

分 类 号：U293[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]