运城市苹果生长期气象灾害变化特征及其对生产的影响  

Change Characteristics of Meteorological Disasters During Apple Growth Period in Yuncheng City and Their Impact on Production

作　　者：王璐[1] 袁嘉玮 郭欢 张健[1] 薛琴琴 田时敏 WANG Lu;YUAN Jiawei;GUO Huan;ZHANG Jian;XUE Qinqin;TIAN Shimin(Cotton Research Institute,Shanxi Agricultural University,Yuncheng Shanxi 044000;Yuncheng Fruit Industry Development Center,Yuncheng Shanxi 044000)

机构地区：[1]山西农业大学棉花研究所,山西运城044000 [2]运城市果业发展中心,山西运城044000

出　　处：《现代农业科技》2024年第4期113-116,共4页Modern Agricultural Science and Technology

基　　金：山西省基础研究计划(202203021222146);山西农业大学科技创新提升工程项目(CXGX2023052);国家重点研发计划(2021YFD1901102)。

摘　　要：本文利用2006—2020年运城市日最高气温、日最低气温、降水量、苹果产量、苹果种植面积等气象和生产观测资料,采用最小二乘法对运城市苹果生长期主要农业气象灾害进行线性倾向估计,并对各项指标进行相关性分析。结果表明:运城市苹果生长期主要农业气象灾害中冻害和热害为偶发性灾害,连阴雨害和干旱灾害为频发性灾害,其中冻害对苹果生产的影响最大;运城市苹果园应针对偶发性气象灾害做好预测预报等防范工作,针对频发性气象灾害做好常态化防范工作;针对苹果生产影响较大的冻害应提高防范意识,及时进行预防与补救。In this paper,meteorological and production observation data such as the daily maximum temperature,daily minimum temperature,precipitation,apple yield and apple planting area in Yuncheng City from 2006 to 2020 were used to estimate the linear tendency of the main agricultural meteorological disasters during the apple growth period in Yuncheng City by using the least squares method,and correlation analysis was conducted on various indicators.The results showed that among the main agricultural meteorological disasters during the apple growth period in Yuncheng City,freezing damage and hot damage were sporadic disasters,while continuous rain and drought disasters were frequent disasters.Among them,freezing damage had the greatest influence on apple production;the apple orchard in Yuncheng City should take measures to predict and prevent occasional meteorological disasters,and carry out normalized prevention work for frequent meteorological disasters;the freezing damage that has a significant influence on apple production should be prevented and remedied in time.

关 键 词：苹果 气象灾害 种植面积 相关性 山西运城 

分 类 号：S42[农业科学—植物保护]