京津冀地区生态系统健康时空演变及其影响因素  

Spatial-temporal Evolution of Ecosystem Health and Its Influencing Factors in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region

作　　者：李魁明 王晓燕[1] 姚罗兰 LI Kui-ming;WANG Xiao-yan;YAO Luo-lan(College of Resources Environment and Tourism,Capital Normal University,Beijing 100048,China;College of Emergency Management,Institute of Disaster Prevention,Sanhe 065201,China;International Education College,Beijing Vocational College of Agriculture,Beijing 100012,China)

机构地区：[1]首都师范大学资源环境与旅游学院,北京100048 [2]防灾科技学院应急管理学院,三河065201 [3]北京农业职业学院国际教育学院,北京100012

出　　处：《环境科学》2024年第1期218-227,共10页Environmental Science

基　　金：北京市自然科学基金委员会-北京市教育委员会联合项目(KZ201810028047)。

摘　　要：厘清区域生态系统健康水平及其影响因素对促进可持续发展意义重大.通过构建生态系统健康评价模型,分析了京津冀地区2000年、2010年和2020年生态系统健康时空演变特征,利用地理探测器与地理加权回归模型(GWR)识别了生态系统健康水平的影响因子.结果表明,研究期内京津冀地区生态系统自然健康指数整体上为上升趋势,北部和西部区县优于东南部区县;京津冀地区生态系统服务指数整体上为下降趋势,呈现出北高南低的空间分异格局;京津冀地区生态系统健康水平呈现先上升再下降趋势,在空间分布上呈现显著的空间异质性,大城市的中心城区生态健康水平较低,燕山和太行山区以及环渤海区县,生态系统健康水平较高;研究期内京津冀地区生态系统健康的空间格局保持相对稳定,热点区及次热点区主要分布在冀北山地和太行山区,冷点区及次冷点区主要分布在东南平原区和部分大城市周边地区.人口密度、年均气温、人均耕地面积和城镇化水平为京津冀地区生态系统健康的主导因子,均与其呈现负相关驱动特征.Exploring ecosystem health and its influencing factors is of great significance for promoting regional sustainable development.An ecosystem health assessment model was constructed,and the spatial-temporal evolution characteristics of ecosystem health in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region in 2000,2010,and 2020 were analyzed.The geographical detector and GWR were used to identify the dominant factors affecting ecosystem health.The main conclusions were as follows:during the study period,the index of ecosystem natural health in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region was generally better in the north and west than that in the southeast,and it showed an overall upward trend.The index of ecosystem services in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region presented as a spatial differentiation pattern of high in the north and low in the south,and it showed a downward trend.The ecosystem health level in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region showed a trend of rising first and then declining,showing significant heterogeneity in spatial distribution.The ecological health level in the central urban area of large cities was mostly poor,and the ecosystem health level in the Yanshan and Taihang Mountains and Bohai Rim was better.During the study period,the spatial pattern of ecosystem health in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region remained relatively stable.The hot spots and sub-hot spots were mainly distributed in the northern mountainous areas of Hebei Province and the Taihang Mountains,and the cold spots and sub-cold spots were mainly distributed in the southeast plain and the surrounding areas of some big cities.Population density,annual average temperature,per capita cultivated land area,and urbanization level were the dominant factors of ecosystem health in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region,and they were all negatively correlated with ecosystem health.

关 键 词：京津冀地区 生态系统健康 时空演变 影响因素 GWR模型 地理探测器 

分 类 号：X171.1[环境科学与工程—环境科学]