矿井通风系统可靠性动态评价方法研究  

Study on dynamic evaluation method for reliability of mine ventilation system

作　　者：何敏 徐明 游春林 王泽华 郝天轩[2,3] 张攀 He Min;Xu Ming;You Chunlin;Wang Zehua;Hao Tianxuan;Zhang Pan(Xinqiao Coal Mine of Yongmei Group Co.,Ltd.,Henan Energy Group,Yongcheng 476600,China;College of Safety Science and Engineering,Henan Polytechnic University,Jiaozuo 454000,China;Collaborative Innovation Center of Coal Work Safety and Clean High Efficiency Utilization,Jiaozuo 454000,China)

机构地区：[1]河南能源集团永煤集团股份有限公司新桥煤矿,河南永城476600 [2]河南理工大学安全科学与工程学院,河南焦作454000 [3]煤炭安全生产与清洁高效利用省部共建协同创新中心,河南焦作454000

出　　处：《能源与环保》2024年第1期46-53,共8页CHINA ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION

基　　金：河南省科技攻关项目(222102320172)。

摘　　要：为对矿井通风系统可靠性进行跟踪动态评价,采用改进的AHP(层次分析法)算法确定主观权重,熵权法确定客观权重,通过Scott-Hinsley算法进行风网解算获取通风系统参数。为解决多次跟踪动态评价时计算量大、所需评价专家数量多的问题,引入二维云模型进行可靠性评价,建立矿井通风系统可靠性动态评价二维云模型,可实现通风系统可靠性的动态跟踪快速评价。应用实例表明,该方法评价结果科学可靠,能反映出通风系统可靠性变化状态;进行多次评价时,评价过程更简洁,能实现快速准确评价,可为矿井通风管理工作提供技术支持。In order to track and dynamically evaluate the reliability of the mine ventilation system,the improved AHP algorithm was used to determine the subjective weight,the entropy weight method was used to determine the objective weight,and the Scott-Hinsley algorithm was used to calculate the air network to obtain the ventilation system parameters.To solve the problem of high computational complexity and the need for a large number of evaluation experts in multiple tracking dynamic evaluations,a 2D cloud model was introduced for reliability evaluation.A 2D cloud model for dynamic evaluation of mine ventilation system reliability was established,which can achieve dynamic tracking and rapid evaluation of ventilation system reliability.The example shows that the evaluation result of this method is scientific and reliable,and can reflect the reliability change state of ventilation system.The evaluation process is more concise when multiple evaluations are conducted,which can realize fast and accurate evaluation and provide technical support for mine ventilation management.

关 键 词：二维云模型 通风系统可靠性 风网解算 动态评价 

分 类 号：TD724[矿业工程—矿井通风与安全]