Catalysts or Barriers?The Impacts of Natural Disasters on Internal Labor Migration in China  

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作  者:Xingyu Zhou Liu Han Jidong Chen 

机构地区:[1]Department of Political Science,University of Rochester,US [2]School of Finance,Zhongnan University of Economics and Law,China [3]School of Public Policy and Management,Tsinghua University,China

出  处:《China & World Economy》2024年第2期160-199,共40页中国与世界经济(英文版)

基  金:The authors are grateful for support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.72074133);the High Level Project in Arts,Humanities and Social Sciences of Tsinghua University(No.2021TSG08101);Tsinghua University Initiative Scientific Research Program.

摘  要:This paper discusses ways in which negative economic shocks captured by natural disasters can shape internal labor migration in China.The impact of negative economic shocks on migration depends on the combination of two opposite driving forces:(i)negative economic shocks can make staying in the affected area less profitable,thus enhancing returns to migration;(ii)the shocks can make it more difficult to migrate out,thus inducing a higher fixed cost of migration.Based on a nationwide dataset of China,this paper shows that when natural disasters were not severe,they caused migration out of rural areas.With sufficiently severe damage,however,the negative effect of natural disasters could be mitigated by villages'prior migrant networks.Specifically,with a severe shock,only clan members were able to migrate in response to natural disasters and enjoyed the complementary effects of prior migrant networks,as they could receive more help from social capital.

关 键 词:family clans internal labor migration migrant networks natural disasters 

分 类 号:X43[环境科学与工程—灾害防治]

 

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