河北省洪涝灾害韧性评价及时空演进分析  

Evaluation of Flood Disaster Resilience and Its Space-time Evolution in Hebei Province

作　　者：杨雅婷 王湘玉[3,4] 张琛 王鹏飞[1,6] YANG Yating;WANG Xiangyu;ZHANG Chen;WANG Pengfei(College of Urban Construction,Hebei Normal University of Science&Technology,Qinhuangdao Hebei,066004;Faculty of Architecture,Civil and Transportation Engineering,Beijing University of Technology;College of Business Administration,Hebei Normal University of Science&Technology;School of International Trade and Economics,University of International Business and Economics;School of Architecture and Urban Planning,Shenyang Jianzhu University;Key Laboratory of Intelligent Analysis and Decision for Traffic System of Qinhuangdao City,China)

机构地区：[1]河北科技师范学院城市建设学院,河北秦皇岛066004 [2]北京工业大学城市建设学部 [3]河北科技师范学院工商管理学院 [4]对外经济贸易大学国际经济贸易学院 [5]沈阳建筑大学建筑与规划学院 [6]河北科技师范学院秦皇岛市交通系统智能分析与决策重点实验室

出　　处：《河北科技师范学院学报》2024年第1期71-80,共10页Journal of Hebei Normal University of Science & Technology

基　　金：河北省高等学校人文社会科学研究项目(项目编号:SQ2023067)ꎮ。

摘　　要：为应对气候变化及非生态城市建设活动带来的洪涝灾害风险,以河北省11个地级市为研究对象,基于压力-状态-响应模型构建洪涝灾害韧性评价体系,计算指标权重及各城市韧性指数,并且对2010,2015,2020年各城市的洪涝灾害韧性进行了综合评价和时空演化分析。结果表明,河北省洪涝灾害韧性水平呈稳步上升趋势,其中压力层韧性降低,状态及响应层韧性提升明显;在空间分布上存在城市间韧性发展不平衡、差异化严重等问题。针对存在的问题提出了韧性优化措施。Taking 11 cities in Hebei Province as research objects,a flood disaster resilience evaluation system was constructed with the pressure-state-response model to cope with flood disaster risks caused by climate change and non-ecological city construction activities.The index weights and resilience indexes of each city were calculated.Comprehensive evaluation and space-time evolution analysis of flood disaster resilience in 2010,2015 and 2020 were carried out.The result showed that the resilience level of flood disaster in Hebei Province was steadily upwards,when the resilience of pressure decreased,the resilience of state and response layer increased significantly.In terms of spatial distribution,the resilience was quite different and unbalanced from city to city.The resilience optimization measures were roposed.

关 键 词：洪涝灾害 韧性评价 压力-状态-响应模型 时空演进 河北省 

分 类 号：X432.22[环境科学与工程—灾害防治] F299.27[经济管理—国民经济]