西北地区绿色金融对经济生态化发展的影响——基于面板数据模型的实证研究  

The impact of green finance on economic ecological development in Northwest China——an empirical study based on a panel data model

作　　者：丁宁 王贵荣[1,2] 夏咏 王福红[1] 赵兰兰 DING Ning;WANG Guirong;Xia Yong;WANG Fuhong;ZHAO Lanan(College of Economics and Management,Xinjiang Agricultural University,Urumqi 830052;Department of Rural Socio-Economic Survey,National Bureau of Statistics,Beijing 100826)

机构地区：[1]新疆农业大学经济管理学院,乌鲁木齐830052 [2]国家统计局农村社会经济调查司,北京100826

出　　处：《林业经济》2024年第1期77-96,共20页Forestry Economics

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学基金青年项目“生态脆弱区农业产业融合发展研究”(22YJC790063)。

摘　　要：发展绿色金融是推动经济生态化发展的必然要求,对于切实将绿水青山转化为金山银山具有积极意义。文章基于2010-2022年我国西北地区面板数据,通过熵值法测算区域绿色金融与经济生态化发展水平,并采用面板数据模型实证检验绿色金融对西北地区经济生态化发展的影响机理。结果表明:(1)就整体发展水平来看,西北地区绿色金融发展水平呈2010-2016年下降、2016-2022年上升的“V”型趋势,其中2016年为拐点,最低值0.0128;经济生态化发展水平整体呈平缓变化趋势,2011年为最高值0.0186,2018年为最低值0.0124。(2)绿色金融对经济生态化发展在5%的显著性水平上呈现正向作用,且绿色金融与经济生态化发展的滞后一期对经济生态化发展也存在影响。(3)控制变量中,财政支出占比对经济生态化发展呈现正向作用,外贸依存度与公路通达强度对经济生态化发展水平呈现负向作用。文章基于外部性理论、资本信号理论和微观经济理论的研究范式,评价了西北地区绿色金融与经济生态化发展的变化趋势与影响机理,并在实践层面丰富了绿色金融对西北地区经济生态化发展产生的作用。基于研究结论,文章提出西北地区应在完善金融市场规范、建设绿色金融市场体系、发挥绿色金融与财税政策协同作用的基础上因地制宜地发展地方特色绿色生态产业,助力实现经济生态化发展。The development of green finance is an inevitable requirement to promote economic ecological development,which is of positive significance to effectively transform clear waters and green mountains into mountains of gold and silver.Based on the provincial panel data of Northwest China from 2010 to 2022,this paper measured the development levels of regional green finance and economic ecological development through the entropy value method,and empirically examined the impact of green finance on economic ecological development in Northwest China by using panel data model.The results showed that:(1)In terms of the overall level of development,the level of green finance development in Northwest China presented a V-shaped trend with a decline in 2010-2016 and a rise in 2016-2022,of which 2016 was the inflection point with the lowest value of 0.0128.The level of economic ecological development presented a flat trend as a whole.The highest value was 0.0186 in 2011 and the lowest value was 0.0124 in 2018.(2)Green finance had a positive effect on economic ecological development at a significant level of 5%,and the lag phase of green finance and the economic ecological development also had an effect on economic ecological development.(3)Among the control variables,the shareof fiscal expenditure had a positive effect on the regional economic ecological development,the proportion of foreign trade dependence and road access intensity urbanization rate showed a negative effect on the level of economic ecological development.Based on the research paradigms of externality theory,capital signaling theory and microeconomic theory,this paper evaluated the change trend and influence mechanism of green finance and economic ecological development in Northwest China,and enriched the role of green finance on economic ecological development in Northwest China at the practical level.Based on the conclusions of the study,this paper suggested that Northwest China should improve the financial market norms,build a green financial market system,

关 键 词：绿色金融 经济生态化发展 面板数据模型 西北地区 

分 类 号：X196[环境科学与工程—环境科学] F832.7[经济管理—金融学] F124.5