碳排放权交易对区域发展差异的影响和作用机制  

Impact of carbon emission trading on regional development disparities and its mechanisms

作　　者：邓又一 董康银 孙倩 薛进军 DENG Youyi;DONG Kangyin;SUN Qian;XUE Jinjun(School of International Trade and Economics,University of International Business and Economics,Beijing 100029,China;School of Economics and Management,Tsinghua University,Beijing 100084,China;Collaborative Innovation Center for Emissions Trading System Co‑constructed by the Province and Ministry,Hubei University of Economics,Wuhan Hubei 430205,China;School of Applied Economics,University of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences,Beijing 102488,China;Research Institute for Global Value Chains,University of International Business and Economics,Beijing 100029,China)

机构地区：[1]对外经济贸易大学国际经济贸易学院,北京100029 [2]清华大学经济管理学院,北京100084 [3]碳排放权交易省部共建协同创新中心,湖北武汉430205 [4]中国社会科学院大学应用经济学院,北京102488 [5]对外经济贸易大学全球价值链研究院,北京100029

出　　处：《中国人口·资源与环境》2024年第3期39-49,共11页China Population,Resources and Environment

基　　金：教育部“春晖计划”合作科研项目“能源减贫实现我国双碳目标的机理、路径与对策研究”(批准号:HZKY20220005);人力资源和社会保障部111引智工程(批准号:B18014)。

摘　　要：应对气候变化、实现“双碳”目标是当前中国的重大战略决策,但以实现碳减排为导向的碳排放权交易试点政策(简称“碳排放权交易”)不仅会影响区域碳排放水平,也会加速要素的跨区域流动,对地区经济发展水平和区域差异变化产生影响。为此,探讨碳排放权交易对区域发展差异的影响,对缩小地区差异、实现区域协调发展具有重要的现实意义。基于2009—2020年中国402个地级市(区)的统计数据,该研究系统测算了中国区域内(省份内)和区域间(省份间)经济发展差异,并运用双重差分(DID)模型实证探讨了碳排放权交易对区域内和区域间发展差异的影响及作用机制。此外,进一步从地理位置差异和地区产业类型差异两方面进行了异质性分析。研究结果表明:①从整体来看,中国区域发展差异正在缩小,区域内发展差异是引起整体区域发展差异的主要原因;从各区域来看,西部地区区域内发展差异明显,而北京、上海等地的高速发展使其与其他地区保持较大的区域间发展差异。②碳排放权交易能够缓解区域内和区域间发展差异、促进区域协调发展,但该过程存在传导效应,即其会先影响区域内发展差异,随后影响区域间发展差异。③机制研究表明,碳排放权交易主要通过降低工业产业集聚水平、提高人力资本水平、促进绿色金融发展以及提高技术创新水平对区域内和区域间发展差异产生影响。其中,仅工业产业集聚水平的下降可同时缓解区域内和区域间发展差异。该研究揭示了碳排放权交易与区域发展差异的联系及影响机制,为中国优化碳排放权交易体系、扩展区域协调发展路径提供了理论依据。Responding to climate change and realizing the‘dual carbon’goals are a major strategic decision for China.However,poli-cies aimed at carbon emission reduction tend to affect the regional carbon emission level and accelerate the trans-regional flow of fac-tors,which will have an impact on regional economic development and lead to changes in regional development disparities.In view of this,exploring the impact of carbon emission trading on regional development disparities is of great significance in narrowing such dis-parities and achieving coordinated regional development.Based on the statistical data of 402 cities(districts)in China from 2009 to 2020,this study systematically measured the intra-regional(within a province)and inter-regional(between provinces)economic devel-opment disparities and empirically explored the impact of carbon emission trading on such disparities and the mechanisms of the im-pact using the difference-in-differences(DID)model.In addition,this study further explored heterogeneity in terms of the disparities re-sulting from geographic location and regional industry types.The results showed that:①As a whole,China's regional development dis-parities were shrinking,and intra-regional development disparities are the main cause of the overall regional development disparities;from the perspective of each region,the intra-regional development disparities in the western region are obvious,while the high speed of the development in Beijing,Shanghai achieving and other places made them maintain large inter-regional development difference with other regions.②Carbon emissions trading could alleviate intra-and inter-regional development disparities and promote coordinated re-gional development,but there was a transmission effect in the process,i.e.,it could affect intra-regional development disparities first and then inter-regional development disparities.③Mechanism research showsed that the impact of carbon emissions trading on intra�and inter-regional development disparities could be reali

关 键 词：碳排放权交易 区域内发展差异 区域间发展差异 双重差分模型 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济] X196[环境科学与工程—环境科学]