深空探测自主运行的一种可信性技术体系  

Dependability Technology System for Autonomous Operation of Deep Space Exploration

作　　者：党炜[1,7,8,9] 骆军委 郑作环[3,8] 敖亮 李博[4,8,9] 李鹏 熊盛阳 许鹏程[3,8] 宋恒旭[6,9] 胡剑桥 冯业为[1,8] DANG Wei;LUO Junwei;ZHENG Zuohuan;AO Liang;LI Bo;LI Peng;XIONG Shengyang;XU Pengcheng;SONG Hengxu;HU Jianqiao;FENG Yewei(Technology and Engineering Center for Space Utilization,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100094;State Key Laboratory of Superlattices and Microstructures,Institute of Semiconductors,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100083;Institute of Applied Mathematics,Academy of Mathematics and Systems Sciences,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190;Institute of Microelectronics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing,100029;China Academy of Launch Vehicle Technology,Beijing 100076;State Key Laboratory of Nonlinear Mechanics,Institute of Mechanics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190;General Establishment of Space Science and Application,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100094;Chinese Academy of Sciences’Reliability Assurance Center,Beijing 100094;University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100049)

机构地区：[1]中国科学院空间应用工程与技术中心,北京100094 [2]中国科学院半导体研究所半导体超晶格国家重点实验室,北京100083 [3]中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院应用数学研究所,北京100190 [4]中国科学院微电子研究所,北京100029 [5]中国运载火箭技术研究院,北京100076 [6]中国科学院力学研究所非线性力学国家重点实验室,北京100190 [7]中国科学院空间科学与应用总体部,北京100094 [8]中国科学院可靠性保障中心,北京100094 [9]中国科学院大学,北京100049

出　　处：《空间科学学报》2024年第2期228-240,共13页Chinese Journal of Space Science

基　　金：中国空间站工程应用与发展阶段空间应用系统总体专项(T014191);国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFF0610100);中国科学院战略性先导科技专项(XDA30000000);中国科学院关键技术人才项目(T103201);中国科学院可靠性保障中心种子基金项目(CRAC-ZZKT-KY-2022-03)共同资助。

摘　　要：未认知与不确定性是深空探测任务的基本特征.本文基于战略导向的体系化基础研究,建立了一种面向科学价值最大化的探测场景和以可靠性为核心技术基础的深空探测自主运行可信性技术体系.分析研究了深空探测场景下的可靠性概念;面向精确感知、最优计算、准确决策、快精准执行的目标要素,提出了深空探测自主运行的可信性体系框架以及“需求-认知-工程”总体技术架构;针对自主运行可信性的关键技术难点,开展了可靠性导向的多物理场、强耦合白盒建模,复杂网络故障传播机制分析,COTS元器件深空探测应用的高可靠保证,以及“模型+数据+知识”一体的融合机制分析等研究.对该技术体系的关键技术验证策略及其最小系统在卫星星座中的应用进行了验证,结果表明,所提出的技术体系具有较高的工程价值.The“unrecognized and uncertain”is the basic feature of deep space exploration missions.A technology system of dependability for autonomous operation in deep space exploration was proposed based on the principle of“scientific value maximization”-oriented exploration and reliability as the core technology.The concept of reliability in the scenario of deep space exploration was analyzed and in-volved.A dependability systematic framework for autonomous operation of deep space exploration and its overall technical architecture of“demand-cognition-engineering”were proposed,which include pre-cise sensing,optimal calculation,accurate decision-making and“quickly,precisely,exactly”execution.The reliability-oriented multi-physics deeply coupled white-box modeling and its high-fidelity technology,the complex network fault propagation mechanism and its high-confidence technology,the high-reliabili-ty assurance route for the application of COTS components in deep space exploration,the fusion mecha-nism of“model+data+knowledge”and its dynamic evolution technology for multi-agent health state management based on multiple fetal sensing phenomena were studied.The key technology of this techni-cal system and the application verification of its minimum system in the satellite constellation were in-troduced,and the results show that the technology system proposed has high engineering value.

关 键 词：深空探测 自主运行 可靠性 可信性 多物理场 复杂网络 

分 类 号：V524[航空宇航科学与技术—人机与环境工程]