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作 者:邱东 Qiu Dong
出 处:《复印报刊资料(统计与精算)》2023年第3期16-31,共16页STATISTICS AND ACTUARIAL SCIENCE
基 金:国家社会科学基金“加快构建中国特色哲学社会科学学科体系、学术体系、话语体系”研究专项(19VXK08)。
摘 要:本文在内容上是《数据科学在社会经济领域应用的重心——兼评<十字路口的统计学,谁来应对挑战》的续篇,试图从更为一般性的角度进一步探讨“应用统计方法研究”相关的“学科规范”问题,即数理统计方法在社会经济领域应用过程中应该侧重做什么和怎样做,关键是为什么这样做。全文分为三个部分:研究的格局、研究的相关性和应用过程中的方法论研究。研究聚焦所面临的第一个选择是:偏理论,还是偏应用?这需要把握好研究的学科格局。进而对论题的聚焦则需要注重“研究的相关性”,否则实证就失去了其不可或缺的社会经济意义。要达成实证研究的“内在一致性”和“外在一致性”,统计学者应该充分发挥自己的专业优势,深入开展“统计应用方法研究”,其内涵便是本文试图概括阐述的,以便统计实证奠基于方法应用的“机理”。统计应用过程也需要方法论研究,这便是本文的核心观点(聚焦点)。In terms of content,this paper is a sequel to the paper of"The Focus of Data Science Applications in the Socio-Economy:On Statistics at a Crossroads:Who is for the Challenge?",and attempts to further explore the Discipline Norms related to Applied Statistical Methods Research from a more general perspective.That is,when mathematical statistics methods are applied in the field of Socio-Economy,what should be emphasized and how to do,and more importantly,why to do so.The paper divides into three parts:The paradigm of the research,the rele-vance of the research and the methodology in the application.The first choice facing the research focus is:Theory or application?This requires a good grasp of the discipline paradigm of research.Furthermore,the focus on the topic needs to pay attention to the"relevance of research",otherwise the empirical research would lose its indispensable Socio-Economic significance.In order to achieve the Internal Consistency and External Consistency of empirical re-search,statisticians should give full play to their professional advantages and carry out in-depth research on statisti-cal application methods.Its connotation is the mechanism summarized and expounded in the paper that statistical demonstration supports the basement to the application of the methods.The processes of statistical application also require methodological research,which is the core point and focus of this paper.
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