预防生产中断的弹性可持续性供应链设计问题  

Design of Resilient Sustainable Supply Chain for Preventing Production Disruption

作　　者：刘艺 董成亮[1] LIU Yi;DONG Chengliang(School of Mines,China University of Mining&Technology,Xuzhou 221000,China)

机构地区：[1]中国矿业大学矿业工程学院,江苏徐州221000

出　　处：《物流技术》2024年第4期101-115,共15页Logistics Technology

摘　　要：针对由制造企业和零售商构成的二级供应链,考虑制造企业会受到突发事件和市场波动等中断风险的影响,将影响量化为生产能力的损失,在供应链设计阶段引入设施加固和设置额外生产能力两种弹性策略,并考虑到实际中额外生产能力也会受到中断风险的影响,引入模糊需求参数,结合可持续性的经济、环境和社会维度,构建了多产品弹性可持续性供应链的数学模型。模型以供应链运营成本最小、碳排放量最小、社会效益最大为目标,运用情景分析法,考虑了三种典型的中断场景,建立了多目标的混合整数线性规划模型。通过机会约束规划处理模糊需求参数,并对三个目标函数加权求和,将多目标模型转化为单目标模型,随后设置仿真算例利用Cplex求解器进行求解,并给出对应算例在弹性策略上的计算结果,验证了模型的有效性,最后通过灵敏度分析得出了采取弹性策略会对供应链的可持续性产生影响。With the development of economic globalization,modern supply chain members are increas⁃ingly dependent on each other.Aiming at the two-level supply chain consisting of manufacturing enterpris⁃es and retailers,and considering that manufacturing enterprises will be affected by disruption risks such as emergencies and market fluctuations,we quantified the impact as loss of production capacity,and introduced two resilient strategies,namely facility reinforcement and additional production capacity,in supply chain de⁃sign.Moreover,considering that the actual additional production capacity will also be affected by the disruption risks,we introduced the fuzzy demand parameter and combined the three sustainable dimensions of society,economy and environment to build a mathematical model of multi-product resilient sustainable supply chain.Firstly,with the objectives of minimizing operating cost and carbon emission and maximizing social bene⁃fit of the supply chain,using scenario analysis and considering three typical disruption scenarios,we estab⁃lished a multi-objective mixed integer linear programming model.Next,we dealt with the fuzzy demand parameters with chance constrained programming,and weighted and summed said three objective functions so as to transform the multi-objective model into a single objective model.Then,based on examples of dif⁃ferent scales,we carried out a simulation experiment,solved the model by using the Cplex solver,and ob⁃tained the calculation result for the corresponding examples based on the resilient strategy,which verified the effectiveness of the model.Finally,we conducted a sensitivity analysis,and analyzed the impact of objective weight,availability of resilient strategies for the changes of disruption probability(respectively being no strate⁃gy,reinforcement only,additional capacity only,and both),retailers'minimum demand satisfaction rate and the confidence level generated by fuzzy demand parameters in the model on the objectives of the sustainable development of the soci

关 键 词：供应链设计 弹性供应链 可持续性供应链 生产中断 供应链风险 

分 类 号：F274[经济管理—企业管理] F224[经济管理—国民经济]