广州市制造业和服务业协同发展的影响机制及经济效应研究  

Synergistic Development of Manufacturing and Service Industries in Guangzhou:Mechanism and Eco‐nomic Effects

作　　者：罗嘉雯[1] 崔文晓 万欣怡 Luo Jiawen;Cui Wenxiao;Wan Xinyi

机构地区：[1]华南理工大学工商管理学院 [2]中泰证券股份有限公司

出　　处：《城市观察》2024年第3期68-83,160,共17页Urban Insight

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目“混频数据视角和时变环境下金融市场波动关联性的预测与应用研究”(72171088);广州市哲学社会科学发展“十四五”规划2023年度智库课题“广州加快建设以实体经济为支撑的现代化产业体系研究”(2023GZZK11);广州市哲学社会科学“十四五”规划面上项目“广州推动沿江、东南部和西部三大产业协同发展研究”(2021GZYB23);广东金融学会2023—2024年度基础课题“产业协同集聚对企业创新活动的影响研究”(JCKT202307)成果。

摘　　要：本研究基于2011-2020年广州市101家上市企业的面板数据,从微观层面探究广州市制造业和服务业间的协同集聚效应,并进一步分析制造业与服务业协同发展的影响因素和经济效应。通过复合协同度模型和时间序列模型的分析结果表明,广州市制造业和服务业整体上协同效果较弱且缺少稳定性,在相同基期的统计口径下二者于2018年进入并保持基本协同阶段;在相邻基期的统计口径下二者仅在2018年达到过中度协同演变,其他观察期内均为非协同演变到低度协同演变的阶段。此外,广州市制造业与服务业协同发展对区域经济高质量发展具有促进作用,并且受到产业结构优化升级、研发资金投入以及市场开放水平的积极影响。This study investigates the synergistic agglomeration effects between the manufacturing and service industries in Guangzhou using panel data collected from 101 listed companies spanning the years 2011 to 2020.Em‐ploying a composite system synergy model and time series analysis,the study examines the factors influencing the synergistic development of these industries and their economic implications.Our findings reveal that the overall synergistic effect between Guangzhou's manufacturing and service industries is weak and lacks stability.While both industries entered a phase of basic synergy in 2018 under the same statistical framework,an assessment considering adjacent base periods showed only moderate synergistic evolution during the same year.Other observation periods exhibited a transition from non-synergistic to low-level synergistic evolution.Furthermore,our analysis suggests that the synergistic development of manufacturing and service industries contributes significantly to the high-quality development of the regional economy.This positive influence is particularly evident in conjunction with the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure,increased investment in research and development,and a higher level of market openness.

关 键 词：制造业 服务业 产业协同效应 经济效应 高质量发展 

分 类 号：F719[经济管理—产业经济]