中国—中东欧原木贸易网络演变特征及影响因素研究  

Research on the Evolving Characteristics and Influencing Factors of the Log Trade Network Between China and Central and Eastern Europe

作　　者：叶童 周莹莹 宋伟 田园[4] 侯晔坤 倪林 黄安民[5] YE Tong;ZHOU Ying-ying;SONG Wei;TIAN Yuan;HOU Ye-kun;NI Lin;HUANG An-min(School of Economic and Management,Beijing Forestry University,Beijing 100083,P.R.China;College of Economics and Management,Zhejiang A&F University,Hangzhou 311300,Zhejiang,P.R.China;Saihanba Mechanized Forest Farm of Hebei,Chengde 068450,Hebei,P.R.China;Business College of Beijing Union University,Beijing 100025,P.R.China;Research Institute of Wood Industry,Chinese Academy of Forestry,Beijing 100091,P.R.China)

机构地区：[1]北京林业大学经济管理学院,北京100083 [2]浙江农林大学经济管理学院,浙江杭州311300 [3]河北省塞罕坝机械林场,河北承德068450 [4]北京联合大学商务学院,北京100025 [5]中国林业科学研究院木材工业研究所,北京100091

出　　处：《林产工业》2024年第6期88-92,共5页China Forest Products Industry

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目“中国木材加工业转移粘性、集聚与产业升级研究”(71873016);国家自然科学基金面上项目“南方集体林区公益林补偿政策对农户收入的影响及机制优化研究”(72073012);国家自然科学基金青年基金项目“中国木材产业全球价值链攀升的动力机制及其环境效应研究”(72003179);教育部人文社会科学研究项目(21YJC630127);国家林草局重点项目“中国原木进口渠道优化系统研究及应用”(2019132707);北京市习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想研究项目“京津冀碳排放的关键驱动机制及协同减排政策设计究”(21LLG630127)。

摘　　要：明确中国-中东欧合作国家间原木贸易的发展格局、发展现状和发展趋势,对优化中国与中东欧区域的原木贸易有着重要作用。本文运用社会网络分析法对2000-2022年中国-中东欧原木贸易网络的网络结构特征及演化趋势进行分析,并利用二次指派程序(QAP)探究了中国与中东欧国家原木贸易关系建立的影响因素。结果表明:中国-中东欧国家间原木贸易联系持续加强,从影响因素来看,各国间的森林认证水平差异、贸易合作和经济距离正向影响着贸易网络的形成,而各国间的地理距离和森林资源禀赋差异负向影响着贸易网络的形成。因此,中国要抓住与中东欧国家合作的机遇,优化原木贸易进出口结构,深化贸易合作,改善基础设施建设,加强森林可持续经营能力。Clarifying the development pattern,current status,and trends of log trade between China-Central and Eastern European(C-CEE)countries plays an important role in optimizing log trade between C-CEE.This article used social network analysis method to analyze the network structure characteristics and evolution trends of the C-CEE log trade network from 2000 to 2022,and used the Quadratic Assignment Program(QAP)to explore the influencing factors of the establishment of log trade relations between C-CEE.The research results indicated that the log trade connection between C-CEE continued to strengthen.From the perspective of influencing factors,differences in forest certification levels,trade cooperation,and economic distance between countries had a positive impact on the formation of trade networks,while geographical distance and differences in forest resource endowments between countries had a negative impact on the formation of trade networks.Therefore,China should seize the opportunity of cooperation between CEE countries,optimize the import and export structure of log trade,deepen trade cooperation,improve infrastructure construction,and enhance the ability of sustainable forest management.

关 键 词：中东欧国家 原木贸易 社会网络分析 QAP分析 贸易网络 

分 类 号：TS6[轻工技术与工程] TS396