早期胃癌预测模型对胃癌高危人群疾病进展的预测价值  

Predictive value of early gastric cancer model for disease progression in high-risk populations

作　　者：孙树申 宋蕊[1] 李雪[1] 吕洪敏[2] Shushen Sun;Rui Song;Xue Li;Hongmin Lv(Department of Gastroenterology,Tianjin University Jinnan Hospital(Tianjin Jinnan Hospital),Tianjin 300052,China;Department of Hepatology,Tianjin Third Central Hospital,Tianjin 300170,China)

机构地区：[1]天津大学津南医院(天津市津南医院)消化内科,300052 [2]天津市第三中心医院肝内科

出　　处：《中国肿瘤临床》2024年第5期231-235,共5页Chinese Journal of Clinical Oncology

基　　金：天津市教委科研计划项目(编号:2022YGYB17)资助。

摘　　要：目的:分析基于幽门螺杆菌(helicobacter pylori,Hp)状态与外周血胃蛋白酶原I(pepsinogenⅠ,PGⅠ)、PGⅡ、胃泌素-17(gastrin-17,G-17)水平组成的预测模型对于胃癌高危人群疾病进展的预测价值。方法:回顾性选取2023年1月至2024年1月于天津大学津南医院完善PGⅠ、PGⅡ、G-17、C14尿素呼气试验和胃镜取组织病理活检的126例胃癌高危人群临床资料,根据胃镜取组织病理活检结果将胃癌高危人群分为对照组、癌前病变组、早期胃癌组,比较各组患者PGⅠ、PGⅡ、G-17、C14尿素呼气试验等指标的诊断效能,并构建预测模型。结果:早期胃癌组Hp阳性率为82.35%、PGⅡ为22.73 ng/mL均高于癌前病变组、对照组,PGⅠ为51.36 ng/mL低于癌前病变组、对照组,癌前病变组G-17为5.17 pmoL/L低于对照组、早期胃癌组(P<0.05)。PGⅠ、PGⅡ、G-17与Hp联合时,其受试者工作特征(receiver operating curve,ROC)曲线下面积(area under curve,AUC)可达到0.899,敏感度为94.12%,特异度为95.65%,对胃癌的诊断效能最为理想。根据预测模型,癌前病变分值界限为10分,早期癌症的临界值为19分。结论:对胃癌高危人群实施C14尿素呼气试验与PGⅠ、PGⅡ、G-17联合检测,有助于分析胃癌高危人群疾病进展情况。Objective:To assess the value of a model based on helicobacter pylori(Hp)status and peripheral blood levels of pepsinogen I(PGⅠ),PGⅡ,and gastrin-17(G-17)for predicting disease progression in high-risk populations for gastric cancer.Methods:Retrospective se-lection of clinical data from 126 high-risk individuals for gastric cancer who underwent PGI,PGII,G-17,and C14 urea breath tests and gastro-scopy tissue biopsy at Tianjin University Jinnan Hospital from January 2023 to January 2024,Based on pathological biopsy results using gast-ric cancer tissues obtained by gastroscopy,the high-risk population for gastric cancer was assigned into normal control,precancerous lesion,and early gastric cancer groups.The diagnostic efficacies of PGⅠ,PGⅡ,G-17,C14 urea breath,and other indicators in each patient group were determined,and a predictive model was constructed.Results:The HP-positivity rate(82.35%)and PGⅡlevel(22.73 ng/mL)in the early gastric cancer group were higher than those in the precancerous lesion and control groups.The PGI level(51.36 ng/mL)was lower in early gastric cancer than in precancerous lesions and control tissues.The G-17 level(5.17 pmol/L)was lower in the precancerous lesion group than in the control and early gastric cancer groups(P<0.05).Combined use of PGⅠ、PGⅡ、G-17and Hp,the area under curve(AUC)can reach 0.899,a sensitivity of 94.12%,and a specificity of 95.65%,making these factors ideal diagnostic tools for gastric cancer.According to the prediction model,the threshold for precancerous lesions was 10 points,and the critical value for early cancer was 19 points.Conclu-sions:Implementation of the C14 urea breath test combined with PGⅠ,PGⅡ,and G-17 detection in high-risk populations for gastric cancer can help monitor disease progression in high-risk populations for gastric cancer.

关 键 词：预测模型 胃癌高危人群 疾病进展 诊断效能 

分 类 号：R735.2[医药卫生—肿瘤]