基于概率潮流的含风电、光伏接入的电力系统静态安全稳定性研究  

Research on static security and stability of power system with wind power and photovoltaic power integration based on probabilistic power flow

作　　者：甘艳 黄菁雯 吴军 吕华林 陈佳 邹建明 蔡泓威 何靖萱 杜志叶[2,3] GAN Yan;HUANG Jingwen;WU Jun;LU Hualin;CHEN Jia;ZOU Jianming;CAI Hongwei;HE Jingxuan;DU Zhiye(Huazhong Branch of State Grid,Wuhan 430077,China;School of Electrical Engineering and Automation,Wuhan University,Wuhan 430072,China;State Key Laboratory of Power Grid Environmental Protection,Wuhan University,Wuhan 430072,China)

机构地区：[1]国家电网华中分部,湖北武汉430077 [2]武汉大学电气与自动化学院,湖北武汉430072 [3]武汉大学电网环境保护全国重点实验室,湖北武汉430072

出　　处：《武汉大学学报（工学版）》2024年第6期765-772,共8页Engineering Journal of Wuhan University

基　　金：国家电网华中分部科技项目(编号:52140023000K)。

摘　　要：受风电、光伏等新能源出力的不确定性因素影响,需重新对有接入新能源的新型电力系统进行概率潮流计算与静态安全稳定性分析,目前所采用的Monte-Carlo法存在计算耗时长的问题,难以运用于实际工程。为此,基于光照强度和风速概率分布特性,分别构建光伏阵列和风力发电机组的出力概率密度函数模型,采用基于Gram-Charlier级数展开的半不变量法进行概率潮流计算,实现了对含风电、光伏接入的新型电力系统的潮流计算和静态稳定分析。以IEEE(Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers)30标准测试模型为算例对所提算法进行验证,结果表明,所提算法在保持Monte-Carlo法高精度优点的同时还具有较高的计算速度;研究了风电和光伏渗透率对电力系统潮流和静态安全稳定性的影响,结果表明,随着渗透率的增加,潮流分布值域扩大且部分支路可能出现负值,存在功率反向传输问题,导致系统运行风险增大;探索了线路增容对降低有功功率和节点电压越限风险以及提高静态安全稳定性的效果。Due to the uncertainty factors in the output of new energy such as wind power and photovoltaics,it is necessary to recalculate the probability power flow and analyze the static safety stability of new power systems with access to new energy.The Monte-Carlo method currently used has the problem of long computation time,making it difficult to apply in practical engineering.Based on the probability distribution characteristics of light intensity and wind speed,the output probability density function models for photovoltaic arrays and wind turbines respectively is constructed,and the semi-invariant method based on Gram-Charlie series expansion for probabilistic power flow calculation is used to realize power flow calculation and static stability analysis for new power systems with wind power and photovoltaic.In this paper,the IEEE(Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers)30 standard testing model is taken as an example to verify the proposed algorithm.The results show that the proposed algorithm maintains the high accuracy advantage of Monte-Carlo method while having a high computational speed.Furthermore,the influence of wind power and photovoltaic permeability on power flow and static safety stability of power system is studied.The results show that as the permeability increases,the range of flow distribution values expands and some branches may have negative values,leading to power reverse transmission issues and the increase of operational risk of the system.Then,the effects of line capacity expansion on reducing the risks of active power and node voltage exceeding limits,as well as improving static safety and stability are explored.

关 键 词：概率潮流 半不变量法 级数展开 新能源接入 静态安全稳定性 

分 类 号：TM71[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]