基于“2-4模型”的校园安全事故致因研究  

Research on the Causes of Campus Safety Accidents Based on“2-4 Model”

作　　者：张海澜 Hailan Zhang(School of Public Safety and Emergency Management,Kunming University of Science and Technology,Kunming Yunnan)

机构地区：[1]昆明理工大学公共安全与应急管理学院,云南昆明

出　　处：《运筹与模糊学》2024年第3期436-444,共9页Operations Research and Fuzziology

摘　　要：为研究校园安全事故主要致因,运用“2-4模型”对500起校园安全事故的直接原因、间接原因、根本原因和根源原因进行分析,之后建立校园安全事故致因指标评价体系,运用变异系数法研究致因权重。结果表明,在运用“2-4模型”分析校园安全事故的过程中,不仅要分析个人不安全行为的因素,也不能忽略组织外部因素的影响,组织层面的安全管理体系占比最大,安全文化占比最小。因此,在校园安全管理方面应该重点从组织层面的安全管理体系着手,同时也应加强安全文化建设,进而预防校园安全事故的发生。In order to study the main causes of campus safety accidents,the direct causes,indirect causes,root causes and root causes of 500 campus safety accidents were analyzed by using the“2-4 mod-el”.After that,the evaluation system of campus safety accident causative indicators was estab-lished and the causative weights were studied by using the coefficient of variation method.The results show that in the process of using the“2-4 model”to analyze campus safety accidents,we should not only analyze the factors of personal unsafe behavior,but also ignore the influence of external factors of the organization.The safety management system at the organizational level accounts for the largest proportion,and the safety culture accounts for the smallest proportion.Therefore,the campus safety management should focus on the organizational level of the safety management system,but also should strengthen the construction of safety culture,so as to pre-vent the occurrence of campus safety accidents.

关 键 词：“2-4模型” 校园安全事故 事故致因 预防对策 

分 类 号：G63[文化科学—教育学]