中国省域经济—社会—生态复合系统投入产出效率时空演变及影响因素研究  

Research on the Spatio-Temporal Evolution and Influencing Factors of Input-Output Efficiency of China’s Provincial Economic-Social-Ecological Complex System

作　　者：赵婧雯 阮静暄 张旭 旷开金 洪宇 刘金福 ZHAO Jingwen;RUAN Jingxuan;ZHANG Xu;KUANG Kaijin;HONG Yu;LIU Jinfu(College of Computer and Information Sciences,Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University,Fuzhou Fujian 350002,China;Key Laboratory of Ecology and Resources Statistics in Higher Education Institutes of Fujian Province,Fuzhou Fujian 350002,China;College of Forestry,Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University,Fuzhou Fujian 350002,China;College of Finance,Fujian Jiangxia University,Fuzhou Fujian 350108,China)

机构地区：[1]福建农林大学计算机与信息学院,福建福州350002 [2]生态与资源统计福建省高校重点实验室,福建福州350002 [3]福建农林大学林学院,福建福州350002 [4]福建江夏学院金融学院,福建福州350108

出　　处：《生态经济》2024年第8期163-170,共8页Ecological Economy

基　　金：全国统计科学研究项目“新发展格局下生态文明试验区碳达峰影响因素及最优达峰路径研究”(2021LY036);福建省自然科学基金项目“基于资源环境承载力监测预警的闽江流域空间功能格局演变与调控机理研究”(2023J011116)。

摘　　要：基于投入产出视角,构建经济—社会—生态复合系统投入产出效率指标体系,运用超效率DEA、GWR模型等,探究2012—2021年中国31个省份经济—社会—生态复合系统投入产出效率时空演变特征及其影响因素。结果表明:(1)10年间我国经济—社会—生态复合系统投入产出效率水平先增后减;(2)效率重心迁移总体上向西南移动,分布格局由“东北—西南”方向逐渐偏转为“正东—正西”方向;(3)效率具有较高空间聚集性;(4)人均水资源量、地区用电量、有效发明专利数对中国省域经济—社会—生态复合系统投入产出效率具有正向影响,碳排放量具有负向影响。论文从区域协同发展、水资源配置、科技创新等方面提出对策建议,对推进中国可持续发展具有一定的参考价值。The research construct an input-output efficiency index system for economic-social-ecological composite systems from the input-output perspective.Using the super-efficiency DEA,GWR model,etc.,we investigate the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of input-output efficiency of economic-social-ecological composite system and its influencing factors in 31 provinces of China from 2012 to 2021.The results show that:(1)In the past ten years,the level of input-output efficiency of China’s economic-social-ecological complex systemfirst increased and then decreased;(2)The center of gravity of efficiency has generally shifted to the southwest,and the distribution pattern has gradually shifted from the“northeast-southwest”direction to the“east-west”direction;(3)Efficiency has high spatial aggregation;(4)Per capita water resources,regional electricity consumption,and the number of effective invention patents have a positive effect on the input-output efficiency of China’s provincial economic-social-ecological composite system,and carbon emissions have a negative effect.Countermeasures and suggestions are put forward in terms of regional synergistic development,water resources allocation,and scientific and technological innovation,which have certain reference value for promoting China’s sustainable development.

关 键 词：投入产出效率 超效率DEA GWR模型 时空测度 

分 类 号：X196[环境科学与工程—环境科学] X22