专利视域下量子信息领域技术会聚及机会预测  

Research on Technology Convergence and Opportunity Prediction in the Field of Quantum Information from the Perspective of Patents

作　　者：徐贤睿 武兰芬[1] 姜军[1] Xu Xianrui;Wu Lanfen;Jiang Jun(School of Intellectual Property,Nanjing University of Science and Technology,Nanjing 210094,China)

机构地区：[1]南京理工大学知识产权学院,江苏南京210094

出　　处：《科技管理研究》2024年第13期116-124,共9页Science and Technology Management Research

基　　金：国家社会科学重点项目“新型举国体制下打赢关键核心技术攻坚战的目标、主攻方向与对策研究”(23AZD038);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目“新质生产力发展视域下多源数据驱动的突破性技术识别与预测研究”(30924010604)。

摘　　要：以量子信息技术为研究对象,基于专利数据构建共现矩阵,利用共现网络分析展示技术发展现状,选取链路预测中预测精度较高的相似性指标来对潜在技术会聚进行预测。研究发现,不同发展阶段的量子信息技术会聚呈现大致稳定、较小波动的情况。量子信息领域技术会聚整体发展较为平稳,技术共现网络结构逐渐稳固,但是在不同技术领域的发展均衡性仍有待提高。基于分析结果,从政府、技术研发和企业3个层面提出量子信息技术发展的建议。Taking quantum information technology as the research object,a co-occurrence matrix is constructed based on patent data.The co-occurrence network is used to analyze and display the development status of technology,and the similarity index with high prediction accuracy in link prediction is selected to predict the potential technology convergence.It is found that the convergence of quantum information technology at different stages of development is generally stable with small fluctuations.The overall development of technology convergence in the field of quantum information is relatively stable,and the network structure of technology co-occurrence is gradually stable,but the development balance in different technical fields needs to be improved.Based on the analysis results,suggestions on the development of quantum information technology are put forward from the three levels of government,technology research and development and enterprises.

关 键 词：量子信息 技术会聚 共现网络 链路预测 

分 类 号：C18[社会学] G301[文化科学]