Nomogram for predicting the risk of anxiety and depression in patients with non-mild burns  

作　　者：Jie Chen Jian-Fei Zhang Xia Xiao Yu-Jun Tang He-Jin Huang Wen-Wen Xi Li-Na Liu Zheng-Zhou Shen Jian-Hua Tan Feng Yang 

机构地区：[1]Department of Burns and Plastic Surgery,The Second Affiliated Hospital,Hengyang Medical School,University of South China,Hengyang 421001,Hunan Province,China [2]Department of Beauty Surgery,Nantong Shenmei Medical Beauty Clinic,Nantong 226001,Jiangsu Province,China [3]Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine,The Second Affiliated Hospital,Hengyang Medical School,University of South China,Hengyang 421001,Hunan Province,China

出　　处：《World Journal of Psychiatry》2024年第8期1233-1243,共11页世界精神病学杂志

基　　金：the Natural Science Foundation of Hunan Provincial Department of Science and Technology,Departmental Joint Fund,No.2023JJ60360.

摘　　要：BACKGROUND Post-burn anxiety and depression affect considerably the quality of life and recovery of patients;however,limited research has demonstrated risk factors associated with the development of these conditions.AIM To predict the risk of developing post-burn anxiety and depression in patients with non-mild burns using a nomogram model.METHODS We enrolled 675 patients with burns who were admitted to The Second Affiliated Hospital,Hengyang Medical School,University of South China between January 2019 and January 2023 and met the inclusion criteria.These patients were randomly divided into development(n=450)and validation(n=225)sets in a 2:1 ratio.Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted to identify the risk factors associated with post-burn anxiety and depression dia-gnoses,and a nomogram model was constructed.RESULTS Female sex,age<33 years,unmarried status,burn area≥30%,and burns on the head,face,and neck were independent risk factors for developing post-burn anxiety and depression in patients with non-mild burns.The nomogram model demonstrated predictive accuracies of 0.937 and 0.984 for anxiety and 0.884 and 0.923 for depression in the development and validation sets,respectively,and good predictive per-formance.Calibration and decision curve analyses confirmed the clinical utility of the nomogram.CONCLUSION The nomogram model predicted the risk of post-burn anxiety and depression in patients with non-mild burns,facilitating the early identification of high-risk patients for intervention and treatment.

关 键 词：BURN Post-burn anxiety Depression Risk prediction Nomogram model 

分 类 号：R749.4[医药卫生—神经病学与精神病学]