美国对华关系“武器化派”的兴起及潜在走向  

The Rise of the “School of Weaponization” in US Relations with China and Its Developments

作　　者：陈静[1] 周文星 Chen Jing;Zhou Wenxing

机构地区：[1]澳门科技大学社会和文化研究所,中国 [2]南京大学国际关系学院

出　　处：《现代国际关系》2024年第8期101-120,143,共21页

基　　金：2021年度国家社科基金青年项目“美国国会立法干涉台湾问题的规律,风险与对策研究(1973―2021)”(项目批准号:21CGJ047)的阶段性成果。

摘　　要：近年来,美国战略界围绕中美相互依存关系展开激烈辩论,并逐渐形成三个具有代表性的对华关系派别,即“武器化派”“脱钩派”和“接触派”。自特朗普推动美国对华政策重构以来,呼吁利用美国全球优势地位遏制中国发展的“武器化派”迅速兴起,声势超过主张切断中美相互依存关系的“脱钩派”,并削弱了“接触派”以往在美国战略界的主导地位,导致中美在经贸、科技、人文交流等领域的交流与合作严重下滑,冲击两国的政治外交关系,不利于地区和平稳定与全球治理合作。展望未来,2024年美国总统选举结果、美国战略界对华政策辩论、中美关系互动、国际舆论等美国内外因素,将共同牵动“武器化派”的可能走向。The US strategic community has been engaged in fierce debates over the interdependence between China and the United States in recent years.Three representative views have gradually formed,namely,“school of weaponization,” “school of decoupling,” and “school of engagement.” Since the Trump administration advocated the reconstruction of US policy towards China,the “school of weaponization” that calls for using the Sino–US interdependence to contain China's development and the “school of decoupling” that advocates severing the interdependence with China are rapidly rising,replacing the “school of engagement” as the dominant force in the US strategic community.This trend has led to a sharp decline in exchanges and cooperation between China and the United States in economy,trade,technology,and cultural communications.It has impacted the political and diplomatic relations between the two countries,and endangered regional stability and global governance.The developments of the “school of weaponization” will be influenced by the outcome of the 2024 US presidential election,policy debates over China policy in the US strategic community,the dynamic interactions between China and the United States as well as the pressure from the international community.

关 键 词：美国对华政策 相互依存 政策辩论 武器化 中美关系 

分 类 号：D822.371.2[政治法律—政治学]