跨城市间轨道交通站间运输需求预测及开行方案设计  

Transportation Demand Prediction and Design of Operation Plan for Inter-city Rail Transit Stations

作　　者：李靖丰 雷钰 LI Jingfeng;LEI Yu(Xi'an Traffic Engineering Institute,Xi'an Shaanxi 710300,China;Chengdu Metro Operation Co.,Ltd.,Chengdu Sichuan 610000,China)

机构地区：[1]西安交通工程学院,陕西西安710300 [2]成都地铁运营有限公司,四川成都610000

出　　处：《西安交通工程学院学术研究》2024年第2期47-52,57,共7页Academic Research of Xi'an Traffic Engineering Institute

摘　　要：随着城市边缘化规模不断扩大,人口数量和密度逐步增加,中心城市与外围城市之间缺乏较好的横向联系,使得城市间出行困难,对城市群的整体发展造成了不良影响,因此运量大、速度快、污染小、正点率高、公交化的绿色交通已成为各大城市解决交通日益紧张问题的关键。城市间客流大小决定城市轨道交通建设规模及运营技术方式。本文在城市化进程加速发展的时代大背景下,致力于城市间轨道交通方式出行特征和模式来预测西安地铁11号线初期的客流并设计列车开行方案。并对客流预测结果进行敏感性分析,利用得出的站间OD计算出全日、高峰小时以及分时断面客流量,在此基础上,计算开行列数、行车间隔、全日列车开行方案,选择合适的列车编组方案、交路方案和停站方案,再用已知数据,设计西安地铁11号线的列车开行方案,为未来地铁11号线运营停供依据。With the continuous expansion of the scale of urban marginalization,the gradual increase in population and density,and the lack of good horizontal connection between the central city and the peripheral cities,it is difficult to travel between cities and has a negative impact on the overall development of urban agglomerations.The size of the passenger flow between cities determines the scale of urban rail transit construction and the operation technology.In the context of the accelerated development of urbanization,this paper focuses on the characteristics and modes of inter-city rail transit to predict the initial passenger flow of Xi'an Metro Line 1l and design the train operation scheme.On this basis,the number of trains,the interval between trains,and the all-day train operation plan are calculated,and the appropriate train marshalling scheme,traffic scheme and stop scheme are selected,and then the train operation plan of Xi'an Metro Line 11 is designed and the train operation diagram is drawn with the known data,which is the basis for the operation and suspension of Metro Line 11 in the future.

关 键 词：城市间轨道交通 客流预测 列车开行方案 

分 类 号：U0224[交通运输工程]