长江中游经济区“水—能源—粮食”系统与城市绿色转型适配性研究  

The adaptability of"water-energy-food"system and urban green transformation in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River Economic Zone

作　　者：穆雅晴 吴宜进[1,2] 田培 王永强[3] 金贵 MU Ya-qing;WU Yi-jin;TIAN Pei;WANG Yong-qiang;JIN Gui(Key Laboratory for Geographical Process Analysis&Simulation Hubei Province,Wuhan 430079,China;College of Urban and Environmental Sciences,Central China Normal University,Wuhan 430079,China;Water Resources Department,Yangtze River Scientific Research Institute,Wuhan 430010,China;School of Economics and Management,China University of Geosciences,Wuhan 430074,China)

机构地区：[1]华中师范大学地理过程分析与模拟湖北省重点实验室,武汉430079 [2]华中师范大学城市与环境科学学院,武汉430079 [3]长江科学院水资源综合利用研究所,武汉430010 [4]中国地质大学(武汉)经济管理学院,武汉430074

出　　处：《自然资源学报》2024年第9期2140-2154,共15页Journal of Natural Resources

基　　金：教育部“春晖计划”合作科研项目(202200199);长江水利委员会长江科学院开放研究基金项目(CKWV20221038/KY);国家自然科学基金项目(71974070)。

摘　　要：评价资源系统与城市绿色发展适配程度是判断城市健康程度的关键。通过构建“系统压力指数—优劣解距离法(TOPSIS)—脱钩弹性模型(Tapio)”评价体系,对2012—2021年长江中游经济区“水—能源—粮食”(WEF)系统压力与城市绿色转型质量的脱钩度(S)进行定量计算与驱动力分析,判断其资源系统与绿色转型适配性。研究发现:(1)长江中游经济区WEF系统压力变化波动较大。(2)长江中游经济区2012—2021年绿色转型质量呈现显著线性上升趋势。(3)长江中游经济区WEF系统压力与绿色转型质量暂未形成适配关系,湖北达到初步脱钩状态,三省绿色转型健康程度为:湖北>湖南>江西。应发挥湖北辐射带动作用,构建绿色产业、能源链,加强绿色技术创新,发挥各省比较优势。Evaluating the adaptability of the resource system to the green development of the city is the key to judging the health of the city.By constructing the evaluation system of"system pressure index,the distance between good and bad solutions(TOPSIS)and decoupling elasticity model(Tapio)",we quantitatively calculate and analyze the decoupling degree(S)between the pressure of WEF system and the quality of green transformation of cities in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River Economic Zone from 2012 to 2021,and determine the appropriateness of its resource system and green transformation.The decoupling degree(S)of the"water-energy-food"system(WEF)pressure and the quality of urban green transformation in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River Economic Zone from 2012 to 2021 is quantitatively calculated and analyzed as a driving force,and the appropriateness of the resource system and green transformation is judged.The study finds that:(1)The WEF system pressure in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River Economic Zone fluctuates greatly.(2)The quality of green transition in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River Economic Zone shows a significant linear upward trend from 2012 to 2021.(3)The WEF system pressure and the quality of green transformation in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River Economic Zone have not yet formed a suitable relationship,Hubei province has reached a preliminary decoupling state,and the health degree of green development of the three provinces is as follows:Hubei>Hunan>Jiangxi.Therefore,Hubei should play a leading role in radiation,so as to build a green industry and energy chain,strengthen green technology innovation,and give full play to the comparative advantages of each province.

关 键 词：“水—能源—粮食”系统 绿色转型 系统压力指数 弹性脱钩模型 

分 类 号：F299.27[经济管理—国民经济] X22[环境科学与工程—环境科学]