湖北省能源消费碳排放及其影响因素分析  

Analysis of Carbon Emissions from Energy Consumption and Its Influencing Factors in Hubei Province

作　　者：唐承财[1,2] 潘欣琪 程静雅 TANG Chengcai;PAN Xinqi;CHENG Jingya(School of Tourism Sciences,Beijing International Studies University,Beijing 100024;Research Center of Beijing Tourism Development,Beijing 100024,China)

机构地区：[1]北京第二外国语学院旅游科学学院,北京100024 [2]北京旅游发展研究基地,北京100024

出　　处：《地理与地理信息科学》2024年第5期92-97,共6页Geography and Geo-Information Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(42071199、42471284);北京市哲学社会科学基金项目(22GLB036)。

摘　　要：低碳发展已成为区域高质量发展的趋势,湖北省作为首批低碳试点省份,是区域碳减排的“领头羊”。该文分析了2000-2021年湖北省能源消费碳排放变化情况和2007-2017年湖北省各市州碳排放空间分布特征,并利用STIRPAT模型分析影响湖北省碳排放的主要因素。结果表明:①2000-2021年湖北省碳排放经历了快速增长、缓慢增长、波动变化3个阶段,碳足迹强度呈下降趋势;②2007-2017年湖北省各市州碳排放呈上升趋势、碳足迹强度呈下降趋势,但碳排放区域差异较大,其中武汉市最高,神农架林区最低;③人口规模和能源消费结构是影响湖北省碳排放的主要因素,其他因素按影响程度从大到小依次为城镇化率、经济产出、技术水平、产业结构、政府支出,其中产业结构是唯一对湖北省碳排放有抑制作用的因素。Low-carbon development has become the trend of regional high-quality development.As the first low-carbon pilot provinces,Hubei Province is the"leader"of regional carbon emission reduction.This paper analyses the changes in carbon emissions from energy consumption in Hubei Province from 2000 to 2021 and the spatial distribution characteristics of carbon emissions of cities and counties in Hubei Province from 2007 to 2017,and at the same time combines with the STIRPAT model to analyse the main factors affecting carbon emissions in Hubei Province.The results are as follows.①From 2000 to 2021,the carbon emissions in Hubei Province experienced three stages of rapid growth,slow growth and fluctuation changes,and the carbon footprint intensity showed a decreasing trend.②From 2007 to 2017,the carbon emissions of all cities and counties in Hubei Province showed an increasing trend,but there were large regional differences in carbon emissions,with the highest value in Wuhan and the lowest value in Shennongjia Forestry District;and carbon footprint intensity of all cities and counties showed a decreasing trend.③Population size and energy consumption structure are the main factors affecting carbon emissions in Hubei Province,and the influence of other factors from strong to weak is urbanization rate,economic output,technological level,industrial structure,government financial expenditure,among which industrial structure is the only factor that has an inhibiting effect on carbon emissions in Hubei Province.

关 键 词：能源消费 碳足迹 碳排放 影响因素 湖北省 

分 类 号：X24[环境科学与工程—环境科学]