基于AHP-模糊综合评价的无人机配送风险管理  

Risk management of drone delivery based on AHP fuzzy comprehensive evaluation

作　　者：李冰冰 张惠珍[1] 马良[1] 姜楠[1] LI Bingbing;ZHANG Huizhen;MA Liang;JIANG Nan(School of Management,University of Shanghai for Science and Technology,Shanghai 200093,China)

机构地区：[1]上海理工大学管理学院,上海200093

出　　处：《智能计算机与应用》2024年第9期48-55,共8页Intelligent Computer and Applications

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(72101149);教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金(21YJC630087)。

摘　　要：为贯彻落实碳达峰、碳中和政策,物流行业逐步走向更加智能化、低碳化的道路,末端配送作为物流重要环节之一势必与无人机等人工智能技术融合发展,因此尽早了解无人机配送存在的风险并提出相应解决方案,对未来无人机配送的发展意义重大。首先基于无人机配送发展现状和存在问题进行分析并识别相应风险,建立评价指标体系进行风险因素分析,利用层次分析和模糊综合评价法确定指标权重并进行评价。研究结果表明,无人机配送的关键风险为技术水平风险。此外,为更好应对无人机配送存在的风险挑战,针对其他风险因素提出相应建议,从而降低无人机配送面临的风险,推动未来无人机末端配送的普及发展。To implement the policy of carbon peak and carbon neutrality the logistics industry is gradually moving towards a more intelligent and low-carbon road.As an important part of logistics,terminal distribution is bound to integrate with drone and other artificial intelligence technologies.Therefore,it is of great significance to understand the risks of drone distribution as early as possible and propose corresponding solutions for the future development of drone distribution.Firstly,based on the development status and existing problems of drone distribution,the paper analyzes and identifies the corresponding risks,establishes an evaluation index system to analyze the risk factors,and uses AHP and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation to determine the index weight and evaluate.The research results show that the key risk of drone distribution is technical level risk.In addition,in order to better deal with the risk challenges of drone distribution,the article also puts forward corresponding suggestions for other risk factors,so as to reduce the risks faced by drone distribution and promote the popularization and development of drone terminal distribution in the future.

关 键 词：双碳 无人机 末端配送 风险管理 

分 类 号：F570.6[经济管理—产业经济]