三生空间视角下黄河沿线城市群综合承载力测算  

Assessment of comprehensive carrying capacity of urban agglomeration along the Yellow River from the perspective of productive-living-ecology space

作　　者：魏伟 杨龙 张伟[3,4] 左其亭[3,5] 朱影影[1] WEI Wei;YANG Long;ZHANG Wei;ZUO Qiting;ZHU Yingying(Zhengzhou Shengda University,Zhengzhou 450000,China;School of Management,Zhengzhou University,Zhengzhou 450000,China;Institute of Yellow River Ecological Protection and Regional Coordinated Development,Zhengzhou University,Zhengzhou 450000,China;School of Ecology and Environment,Zhengzhou University,Zhengzhou 450001,China;School of Water Conservancy and Transportation,Zhengzhou University,Zhengzhou 450001,China)

机构地区：[1]郑州升达经贸管理学院,郑州450000 [2]郑州大学管理学院,郑州450000 [3]郑州大学黄河生态保护与区域协调发展研究院,郑州450000 [4]郑州大学生态与环境学院,郑州450000 [5]郑州大学水利与交通学院,郑州450000

出　　处：《南水北调与水利科技（中英文）》2024年第5期833-844,共12页South-to-North Water Transfers and Water Science & Technology

基　　金：中国科协战略发展部决策咨询重点研究课题(2023070615CG111504);中国工程科技发展战略河南研究院战略咨询研究项目(2024HENYB01);2025年度河南省高等学校智库研究项目;河南科技智库调研课题(HNKJZK-2024-10A);郑州大学教育教学改革研究与实践项目(留学生教育专项)重点项目(2023ZZUJGXM-LXS010);河南省重点研发与推广专项(软科学研究)项目(232400411184);新一轮河南省重点学科(工商管理)(教研[2023]414号);2024年度河南省文化和旅游厅研究课题。

摘　　要：厘清生产-生活-生态空间(简称“三生空间”)质量的耦合规律,测算并分析城市群综合承载力,能够为承载力提升提供新思路,并为城市群可持续发展提供决策参考。基于三生空间视角,选取9个维度共27个指标构建综合承载力评价指标体系,运用熵值法确定指标权重,通过综合承载力测算模型对2001-2020年黄河沿线城市群承载力进行测算,并使用ArcGIS工具进行空间差异性分析,运用灰色关联度模型识别综合承载力的关键影响因素。结果表明:黄河沿线城市群综合承载力空间分异特征显著,整体呈现出三级梯度分布;中度承载力和高度承载力城市比例不变,保持在29.31%和12.07%,较高承载力城市比例由24.14%增加到29.31%,发展态势较好;各个城市群综合承载力关键影响因素存在差异,总体上集中于经济发展、生活服务、社会保障、生态压力、生态治理5个维度。黄河沿线城市群在未来发展过程中应注重产业经济与资源环境的协同发展,社会保障和服务设施配套建设,以促进生产-生活-生态空间质量的全面提升,并针对综合承载力不同梯队的城市群采用精准性治理措施,以全面实现黄河流域的生态保护和高质量发展。Under the background of globalization and urbanization,urban agglomeration has become one of the important engines to promote economic growth and social development.As one of China's important urban agglomerations and a spatial carrier for promoting ecological civilization construction,the Yellow River basin plays a prominent role in China's overall economic development,social stability and opening-up.However,compared with other regions,the resources,environment and economic and social development conditions of the urban agglomeration along the Yellow River are more unbalanced,and the spatial layout of urban construction is unreasonable,which leads to the higher vulnerability of the urban agglomeration and the lower comprehensive carrying capacity.In order to find out the coupling law of production,life and ecological spatial quality of the urban agglomeration along the Yellow River,to provide new ideas for the improvement of its carrying capacity,and to provide decision-making reference for the high-quality and sustainable development of the urban agglomeration.Based on the perspective of productive-living-ecology space,a total of 27 indicators from 9 dimensions were selected to build a comprehensive carrying capacity evaluation index system.The entropy method was used to determine the weight of the indicators,and the carrying capacity along the Yellow River urban Agglomeration from 2001 to 2020 was measured by the comprehensive measurement index model.Finally,the grey relational degree model is used to identify the key influencing factors of the comprehensive bearing capacity.The results show that the spatial differentiation of the comprehensive carrying capacity of the urban agglomeration along the Yellow River is significant,showing a three-level gradient distribution.The first-level gradient includes Shandong Peninsula urban agglomerations and Central Plains urban agglomerations,the second-level gradient includes Hubao and Eyu urban agglomerations,and the third-level gradient includes Jinzhong urban agglomer

关 键 词：三生空间 综合承载力 黄河沿线城市群 影响因素 

分 类 号：TV213[水利工程—水文学及水资源] X24[环境科学与工程—环境科学]