数字技术发展、出口多样化与城市出口韧性  

Digital Technology Development,Export Diversification and Urban Export Resilience

作　　者：曹宇芙 邓宗兵[1,2] CAO Yu-fu;DENG Zong-bing(School of Economic and Management,Southwest University,Chongqing 400715,China;Research Center for Inclusive Finance and Agricultural and Rural Development,Southwest University,Chongqing 400715,China)

机构地区：[1]西南大学经济管理学院,重庆400715 [2]西南大学普惠金融与农业农村发展研究中心,重庆400715

出　　处：《经济体制改革》2024年第5期192-200,共9页Reform of Economic System

基　　金：重庆市教委人文社科研究项目“重庆市数字经济与实体经济深度融合的绩效评价与实现路径研究”(24SKGH299)。

摘　　要：从出口多样化视角分析数字技术发展影响中国城市出口韧性的作用机制,基于中国城市层面数据实证检验数字技术发展对出口韧性的影响。研究发现:数字技术发展能显著增强城市出口韧性。数字技术具有普惠性特征,对中西部地区城市和外围城市的出口韧性赋能作用更强,对出口数字经济核心产业和向经济韧性与进口韧性较强的市场出口的城市增强效应更显著。出口产业和市场多样化是数字技术发展赋能城市出口韧性的重要渠道。数字技术发展对城市出口韧性的作用具有区间效应,表现为先增强后削弱的倒“U”型特征;多数城市数字技术发展水平尚未跨越拐点,处于作用的最优区间。因此,应有序发展数字技术,制定差异化的数字技术发展方略,并引导和激励更多城市施行多样化的出口策略。This paper analyzes the action mechanism of digital technology development affecting the export resilience of Chinese cities from the perspective of export diversification,the impact of digital technology development on export resilience is empirically tested based on Chinese city-level data.The study finds that the development of digital technology can significantly enhance the resilience of urban exports.Digital technology has inclusiveness,which has a stronger effect on the export resilience of cities and peripheral cities in the central and western regions.In addition,the development of digital technology shows a stronger effect on the export resilience of cities that choose the core industries of export digital economy and cities of exports to markets with resilient economies and resilient imports are strong.The diversification of export industry and export market is an important channel for digital technology development to empower urban export resilience.The development of digital technology has an interval effect on the resilience of urban exports,which shows the inverted"U"characteristic of strengthening first and then weakening.The development level of digital technology in most cities has not crossed the inflection point and is still in the optimal range of function.Therefore,it is necessary to promote digital technology development in an orderly manner,formulate differentiated digital technology development strategies,and guide more cities to implement diversified export strategies.

关 键 词：数字技术 出口多样化 出口韧性 区间效应 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易]