城市轨道交通车站系统韧性承载能力评估指标体系研究  

Evaluation Index System for the Resilience Capacity of Urban Rail Transit Station Systems

作　　者：曾小清[1] 朱明昌 刘源 保丽霞 郭烨鑫 邓波 ZENG Xiaoqing;ZHU Mingchang;LIU Yuan;BAO Lixia;GUO Yexin;DENG Bo(The Key Laboratory of Road and Traffic Engineering,Ministry of Education,Tongji University,Shanghai 201804,China;Shanghai Urban Construction Design and Research Institute(Group)Co.,Ltd,Shanghai 200011,China)

机构地区：[1]同济大学道路与交通工程教育部重点实验室,上海201804 [2]上海市城市建设设计研究总院(集团)有限公司,上海200011

出　　处：《交通与运输》2024年第6期20-26,共7页Traffic & Transportation

基　　金：上海市科学技术委员会(22dz1208505、19dz1204200、20dz1202900);校企战略性合作专项高速铁路绿色智能施工关键技术研究(kh0160020230946、LQKY2022-01-1)。

摘　　要：城市轨道交通发展迅速,运营环境日渐复杂,其车站系统具有高负载、高频率运营和处于地下空间环境等特点,导致安全风险提升及事故发生。对车站系统韧性承载能力评估指标体系进行研究,旨在准确评估系统韧性,提高车站系统韧性水平。通过分析车站系统韧性承载能力的影响因素和相关调研,构建由102个指标构成的原始指标库,并初步筛选出42个指标。基于车站系统特点,构建DEMATEL-ISM复合模型,对指标进行二次筛选。通过对指标原因度、中心度、区域联通性、初始发出层、最终接收层的分析,建立了四类(27个)指标构成的城市轨道交通车站系统韧性承载能力评估指标体系。研究结果可为车站系统韧性评估计算提供参考。The rapid development of urban rail transit has led to increasingly complex operational environments and increased risks of operational accidents.The high-load,high-frequency operations,and the unique underground space environment of station systems contribute to occasional safety incidents.This study focuses on assessing the resilience capacity of station systems by developing a comprehensive evaluation indicator system,aiming at accurately assessing the system resilience and improving the station system performance.Through an analysis of factors influencing the resilience capacity of station systems and relevant surveys,an initial pool of 102 indicators was constructed and subsequently narrowed down to 42 indicators.A hybrid DEMATEL-ISM model was employed to further refine these indicators based on the characteristics of station systems.By analyzing the causality degree,centrality,regional connectivity,initial sending layer,and final receiving layer of indicators,a robust evaluation indicator system consisting of 27 indicators in four categories was established for assessing the resilience capacity of urban rail transit station systems.The results can provide references for resilience evaluation and calculation of station systems.

关 键 词：城市轨道交通 车站系统 韧性承载能力 DEMATEL-ISM模型 评估指标体系 

分 类 号：U491[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]