城市公共教育支出与经济增长——基于城市面板数据的实证分析  

Urban Public Education Expenditure and Economic Growth:An Empirical Analysis Based on Urban Panel Data

作　　者：王敏 张海生[2] WANG Min;ZHANG Hai-sheng(School of Education,Renmin University of China;Journal of Chongqing University of Arts and Sciences)

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学教育学院 [2]重庆文理学院期刊社

出　　处：《教育经济评论》2024年第4期26-48,共23页China Economics of Education Review

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目“人工智能、制度潜入与大学治理效能提升研究”(22YJC880107)。

摘　　要：教育支出能为经济增长提供动力,经济高速发展也能为教育支出提供重要保障。文章基于全国285个城市2007—2020年的面板数据,采用PVAR模型对城市公共教育支出与城市经济增长之间的关系进行实证检验,同时构建长期增长模型检验了城市公共教育支出对城市经济增长的边际效应。研究发现:第一,整体上,城市公共教育支出与城市经济增长之间存在双向Granger因果关系。第二,分不同经济发展水平看,在低于49010元(以2003年不变价计算)的中低人均GDP城市中,公共教育支出与经济增长互为Granger因果关系,但在高于49010元的高人均GDP的城市中,只表现出经济增长对公共教育支出的单向Granger原因。第三,采用长期经济增长数据发现,城市人均公共教育支出对城市的经济增长具有显著的促进作用,但这种促进作用会随人均GDP的提高而逐渐降低。因此,应在进一步加大对低发展水平地区人均公共教育支出的基础上,加强省级政府和中央政府的统筹能力,促进省内和省际间城市公共教育支出的合理分配。Education expenditure can provide impetus for economic growth,and high economicdevelopmenttcanalso provide an important guarantee foreducation expenditure.However,should high public education expenditure still be pursued in economically developed regions?Based on the panel data of 285 cities in China from 2007 to 2020,this paper uses the PVAR model to empirically test the relationship between urban public education expenditure and urban economic growth,and constructs a long-term growth model to test the marginal effect of urban public education expenditure on urban economic growth.The results show that:(1)There is a two-way Granger causality between urban public education expenditure and urban economic growth.(2)In terms of different levels of economic development,there is a Granger causality relationship between public education expenditure and economic growth in cities with medium and low per capita GDP of less than 49010 yuan(calculated at 2003 constant price),but in cities with high per capita GDP of more than 4901o yuan,only unidirectional Granger cause of economic growth on public education expenditure is shown.(3)Using long-term economic growth data,we find that urban per capita public education expenditure has a significant role in promoting urban economic growth,but this role will gradually decrease with the increase of per capita GDP.Therefore,on the basis of further increasing the per capita public education expenditure in areas with low development level,it is necessary to strengthen the overall planning ability of provincial governments and the central government,and promote the rational allocation of public education expenditure in cities within and between provinces.

关 键 词：公共教育支出 城市经济增长 面板Granger因果检验 

分 类 号：F124.1[经济管理—世界经济] G521[文化科学—教育学]