考虑有限理性的多制式轨道交通客流分配研究  

Passenger Flow Assignment of Multi-system Rail Transit Considering Bounded Rationality

作　　者：王菁菁 彭其渊[1,2] WANG Jingjing;PENG Qiyuan(School of Transportation and Logistics,Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu 610031,Sichuan,China;National United Engineering Laboratory of Integrated and Intelligent Transportation,Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu 611756,Sichuan,China)

机构地区：[1]西南交通大学交通运输与物流学院,四川成都610031 [2]西南交通大学综合交通运输智能化国家地方联合工程实验室,四川成都611756

出　　处：《铁道运输与经济》2024年第12期216-226,共11页Railway Transport and Economy

基　　金：国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFB4300502)。

摘　　要：在多制式轨道交通快速发展的背景下,为满足出行者多样化、个性化的出行需求,研究多制式轨道交通客流分配具有理论和实际意义。考虑乘客出行异质性,从有限理性乘客角度出发,基于多制式轨道交通贯通运营模式,分析出行者面对多样化乘车方案选择行为,引入效用-后悔理论,以出行成本及出行时间为效用最大化函数属性,换乘选择、滞留选择及列车选择为后悔最小化模型属性,从而构建出行者的混合选择模型。以“一”字形贯通运营模式为例,以重庆市域铁路江跳线及重庆市轨道交通5号线为研究对象,进行微观客流分配,构建随机用户均衡模型,并运用MSA算法求解模型。结果表明考虑乘客有限理性行为,可更好贴合出行决策者的抉择行为,为多制式轨道交通客流分配提供了新的研究视角。Under the background of the rapidly developing multi-system rail transit,to meet the diversified and personalized travel needs,the study of the passenger flow assignment of multisystem rail transit is of theoretical and practical significance.Considering the heterogeneity of passenger travel,from the perspective of bounded rational passengers,this paper analyzed the passenger’s choice behavior when they were facing diversified riding plans based on the multisystem rail transit integrated operating model.By introducing the utility-regret theory,the paper constructed a mixed choice model with travel cost and travel time as utility maximization function attributes and transfer choice,retention choice and train choice as regret minimization model attributes.Taking the linear-shaped integrated operating model as an example,and Chongqing Rail Transit Jiangtiao Line and Chongqing Rail Transit Line 5 as the research object,the paper operated microcosmic passenger flow assignment,constructed a random user equilibrium model,and used the MSA algorithm to solve the model.The results show that considering the bounded rational behavior of passengers can better meet the decision-making behavior of travel decision-makers,and provide a novel perspective for the passenger flow assignment of multi-system rail transit.

关 键 词：多制式轨道交通 有限理性 效用-后悔混合函数 贯通运营模式 客流分配 

分 类 号：U293.5[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]