设施农业发展对农业碳排放效率的影响  

Impact of facility agriculture development on agricultural carbon emission efficiency

作　　者：仝昊天 夏恩君[1] 孙聪 黄洁萍[1] TONG Hao-tian;XIA En-jun;SUN Cong;HUANG Jie-ping(School of Management,Beijing Institute of Technology,Beijing 100081,China)

机构地区：[1]北京理工大学管理学院,北京100081

出　　处：《中国环境科学》2024年第12期7079-7094,共16页China Environmental Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(72274016)。

摘　　要：通过核算农业碳排放效率及评价设施农业的发展现状,探究了设施农业发展对农业碳排放效率的影响.在方法上选用超效率SBM模型,从“农牧渔”维度测算农牧渔维度的农业碳排放效率(ACEE),运用核密度估计对结果进行分析;通过熵权法构建设施农业发展指数(FADI)评价指标;应用STIRPAT面板回归模型对设施农业对农业碳排放效率的具体影响进行实证研究.ACEE与FADI的研究结果显示,2010~2020年间全国农业碳排放效率平均提升了49.13%,其中东部西部上升最明显,分别提升了56.72%与52.96%;全国大部分省份的设施农业发展水平皆有提升,平均增长率为2.88%,但经济发达地区相比欠发达地区较为落后.STIRPAT模型结果显示设施农业的发展对农业碳排放效率的提升有显著的正向作用,经济发展向好、人口规模增长、产业结构升级等因素都对提升农业碳排放效率有促进作用.但正向效应目前仅出现在东部地区,西部、东北与中部仍然为负.研究结果表明,设施农业发展对全国农业碳排放效率有正向影响,主依托东部地区的拉动效应,各区域间农业碳排放效率仍有较大差异,设施农业现代化水平有待提高.This study evaluates agricultural carbon emission efficiency(ACEE)and the current development status of facility agriculture,exploring its impact on agricultural carbon emission efficiency.Employing the super-efficiency SBM model,we measured ACEE across the agriculture,animal husbandry,and fisheries sectors,and analyzed the results using kernel density estimation.An entropy weight method was applied to construct the Facility Agriculture Development Index(FADI)for evaluation.An empirical study using the STIRPAT panel regression model examined the specific effects of facility agriculture on ACEE.The findings indicated that between 2010 and 2020,the national average ACEE improved by 49.13%,with significant increases in the eastern(56.72%)and western(52.96%)regions.Most provinces experienced growth in facility agriculture,averaging 2.88%,though economically developed regions lagged behind less developed ones.The STIRPAT model results highlighted a significant positive impact of facility agriculture development on ACEE,with contributing factors such as economic growth,population increase,and industrial structure upgrading.However,this positive effect was currently observed only in the eastern region,while the western,northeastern,and central regions still experienced negative effects.The research indicated that facility agriculture development positively influences national agricultural carbon emission efficiency,primarily driven by the eastern region,though disparities in ACEE and modernization levels persist across regions.

关 键 词：设施农业 农业碳排放效率 核密度分析 熵权法 面板回归模型 

分 类 号：X16[环境科学与工程—环境科学]